Office briefing
AZOGUES / CAÑAR — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · AZOGUES / CAÑAR / CAÑAR · municipal · MayorEC-M-3-235
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AZOGUES / CAÑAR / CAÑAR
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-d30c481b5a4777970b69dc00
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-1727.3%
- UNIDOS POR AZOGUES23.1%
- UNIDOS POR LA DEMOCRACIA20.2%
- CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO11.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7.3%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR6.5%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO JUVENIL NUEVA GENERACIÓN4.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-17 · JAVIER SERRANO | 1306ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 12,174 | 27.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR AZOGUES · ROMEL SARMIENTO CASTRO | 1164ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 10,338 | 23.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR LA DEMOCRACIA · CARLOS OLMEDO PALACIOS | 1311ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,039 | 20.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO · MARTIN SERRANO IDROVO | 1190ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,929 | 11% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CARLOS SUCUZHAÑAY SACTA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,264 | 7.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · JACOBO CANTOS ORMAZA | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,919 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO JUVENIL NUEVA GENERACIÓN · JAIME LIMA PINOS | 171ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,007 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO41.4%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES37.5%
- AZOGUES EMPRENDE18.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ROMEL SARMIENTO CASTRO | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 19,443 | 41.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · VIRGILIO SAQUICELA | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 17,592 | 37.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZOGUES EMPRENDE · JUAN DIEGO SIGUENZA | 623ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,467 | 18% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · BISMARCK VEGA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,410 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CREO29.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO16.9%
- PARTIDO AVANZA16.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.6%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO4.2%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA3.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · SAQUICELA ESPINOZA JAVIER VIRGILIO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 12,750 | 29.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · MOLINA LOYOLA BERTHA ELIZABETH | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 9,694 | 22.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · MOROCHO QUINTEROS MANUEL EUGENIO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,185 | 16.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ORMAZA ANDRADE DIEGO ROMEO ANTONIO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,135 | 16.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CORONEL PESANTEZ HERNAN BOLIVAR | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,365 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · ROMERO SACOTO CARLOS BENIGNO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,776 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ROMO CARPIO WILSON FERNANDO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,671 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI78.160–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.110141034251178, oldest_gap=7.177752724539648, previous_gap=3.945685538881307
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility78.95percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,7.306917394224311,0,0,0,92.69308260577567],[41.44568553888131,0,3.0056275579809,37.5,0,0,18.04868690313779],[0,16.75826756858324,5.554772641863961,29.946448703494926,3.924746335963923,22.76869597895528,21.04706877113867]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,7.306917394224311,0,0,0,92.69308260577567],[41.44568553888131,0,3.0056275579809,37.5,0,0,18.04868690313779],[0,16.75826756858324,5.554772641863961,29.946448703494926,3.924746335963923,22.76869597895528,21.04706877113867]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.97percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,7.306917394224311,0,0,0,92.69308260577567],[41.44568553888131,0,3.0056275579809,37.5,0,0,18.04868690313779],[0,16.75826756858324,5.554772641863961,29.946448703494926,3.924746335963923,22.76869597895528,21.04706877113867]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 63,433 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 235,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 3,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 63433,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-3-235",
"name": "AZOGUES / CAÑAR",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
372,
373,
374,
375,
378,
379,
380,
381,
382,
383,
384,
385,
386,
387,
388,
389,
390,
391,
392,
393,
394,
395,
396,
397,
398,
399,
400,
401,
402,
403,
404,
411,
412,
413,
414,
416,
428,
434,
437
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AZOGUES / CAÑAR — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-3-235. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.