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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SALINAS / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SALINAS / SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA · municipal · MayorEC-M-24-405

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SALINAS / SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-2d8cdb3644f8777c03c39c87
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA57.9%
  • SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-2120.3%
  • ALIANZA ID-FLC9.1%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE3.8%
  • ALIANZA EL PODER LO TIENE EL PUEBLO3.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.1%
Results for event-a488375ad7c1956e613ee96f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · DENNIS CORDOVA SECAIRA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202327,14057.9%1Recorded
SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-21 · RONNY GARCIA VITERI1146ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,53020.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ID-FLC · OSWALDO ROCA1207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,2609.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE · NOELYA FRANCO1289ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,8033.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA EL PODER LO TIENE EL PUEBLO · JULIO CESAR FARACHIO DROUET1187ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6663.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · PAUL BORBOR MITE7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,4133%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · CAMILA REBECA CRUZ39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235311.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · HENRY SUAREZ CHOEZ32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235291.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA35.7%
  • ALIANZA30.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICA RENACER PENINSULAR18.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONOMO REVOLUCIONARIO, MAR5.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA1.4%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA0.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS SOMOS UNO0.4%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.3%
  • FUERZA.EC0.3%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.2%
Results for event-c2ed24bb88c318026b05f7e5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA · DANIEL CISNEROS709ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,65835.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA · DENNIS CORDOVA SECAIRA669ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,22030.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICA RENACER PENINSULAR · CESAR PINOARGOTE140ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,98118.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTONOMO REVOLUCIONARIO, MAR · VINICIO YAGUAL VILLALTA20ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,4595.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · PAUL BORBOR22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7804.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · VOLTER PANCHANA PERERO13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196291.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · IVAN SALAZAR158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195131.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · JORGE VEINTIMILLA CELI235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193200.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · RENE FARUK GARZOZI PINCAY37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192790.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JOSE BAJAÑA PILCO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192580.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS SOMOS UNO · JHON BAQUERIZO CASTILLO772ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191710.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · JORGE RAMIREZ BALON25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191670.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · ROGER JARAMILLO DEL VALLE170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191440.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · ANTONIO BROWN146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191390.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · MARCO ALONSO SERRANO51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019920.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 6150.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SALINAS INDEPENDIENTE19.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTÓNOMO REVOLUCIONARIO13.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO FRENTE UNIDAD SALINENSE8.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA5.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.7%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
Results for event-d2e930e57bdd7749bbeb39c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 61 · CISNEROS SORIA OSWALDO DANIEL24011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201420,13650.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SALINAS INDEPENDIENTE · BORBOR MITE VICENTE PAUL24005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,76919.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTÓNOMO REVOLUCIONARIO · YAGUAL VILLALTA GALO VINICIO24007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,30113.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO FRENTE UNIDAD SALINENSE · DUMANI MASSUH VICTOR HUGO24006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,3188.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · SAAVEDRA PALMA JORGE ENRIQUE6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,1755.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · MEREJILDO LAINEZ ERNESTO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,0222.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · GONZALEZ PEZO GAUDY ZORAIDA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142730.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · CONCARI NOZZILIA ELDO ARNALDO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142090.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=37.570404505888376, oldest_gap=30.76138596622143, previous_gap=5.564939511527047

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.128605564089435,0,3.014592933947773,0,0,0,95.85680150196279],[0,0,0,4.062999315224834,0.6368409039032185,1.4357452636384387,93.86441451723351],[0,5.410044026565182,0,2.5420988483446507,0.679053801955078,0,91.3688033231351]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.128605564089435,0,3.014592933947773,0,0,0,95.85680150196279],[0,0,0,4.062999315224834,0.6368409039032185,1.4357452636384387,93.86441451723351],[0,5.410044026565182,0,2.5420988483446507,0.679053801955078,0,91.3688033231351]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.128605564089435,0,3.014592933947773,0,0,0,95.85680150196279],[0,0,0,4.062999315224834,0.6368409039032185,1.4357452636384387,93.86441451723351],[0,5.410044026565182,0,2.5420988483446507,0.679053801955078,0,91.3688033231351]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1164,512
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 405,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 24,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 64512,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-24-405",
  "name": "SALINAS / SANTA ELENA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    4332,
    4340,
    4341,
    4388,
    4389,
    4390,
    4391,
    4392,
    4393,
    4394,
    4395,
    4396,
    4397,
    4398
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SALINAS / SANTA ELENA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-24-405. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.