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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JOYA DE LOS SACHAS / ORELLANA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · JOYA DE LOS SACHAS / ORELLANA / ORELLANA · municipal · MayorEC-M-22-725

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JOYA DE LOS SACHAS / ORELLANA / ORELLANA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-a0934d2fec4be85dd463c2c8
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD ORELLANENSE31.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK29.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO19.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA12.1%
  • ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION7.8%
Results for event-a7e54968ddec24b6abd71b11
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD ORELLANENSE · LIZETH HINOJOSA1003ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,20631.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · RODRIGO ROMAN7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,62329.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · TELMO UREÑA124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,83119.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA · MIGUEL NARANJO ROLDAN1069ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,57912.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION · HOOVER ALVAREZ1025ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,3147.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA ORELLANA50.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK35.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA6.3%
  • ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS5.3%
  • ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO2.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO0.3%
Results for event-6651578dcea71b3875d7c8e1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ORELLANA · LUIS CORDONES502ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,24850.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MIGUEL NARANJO12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,27535.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · WILLIAN ABRIL37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6526.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS · ALBA GALLARDO574ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3855.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO · VICENTE PEÑAFIEL586ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196392.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · RAMON CHALCO SIMBAÑA145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019850.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK51.0%
  • DESPIERTA ORELLANA27.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS17.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"3.1%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.9%
Results for event-6c676860a08017b9fc1b902d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ROMAN GALARZA RODRIGO FABIAN5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,07851%1Recorded
DESPIERTA ORELLANA · CORDONES MEJIA LUIS HERNAN22005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,01027.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · UREÑA PATIÑO TELMO VICENTE3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,74717.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · SANCHEZ CIFUENTES MARIA LENDI4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146753.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · HINOJOSA FRANKLIN BENITO9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141970.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

59.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.972726965113523, oldest_gap=23.347307320219283, previous_gap=15.115659716938062

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,29.178086827056475,0,0,0,70.82191317294352],[0,0,35.28762745396439,0,6.285192512555167,0,58.42718003348044],[0,0,51.03422858985581,0,0,17.26171281153545,31.704058598608746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,29.178086827056475,0,0,0,70.82191317294352],[0,0,35.28762745396439,0,6.285192512555167,0,58.42718003348044],[0,0,51.03422858985581,0,0,17.26171281153545,31.704058598608746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,29.178086827056475,0,0,0,70.82191317294352],[0,0,35.28762745396439,0,6.285192512555167,0,58.42718003348044],[0,0,51.03422858985581,0,0,17.26171281153545,31.704058598608746]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1141,443
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 725,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 22,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 41443,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-22-725",
  "name": "JOYA DE LOS SACHAS / ORELLANA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    4107,
    4108,
    4133,
    4134,
    4135,
    4154,
    4155,
    4156,
    4157,
    4158,
    4159,
    4167,
    4168,
    4169,
    4176,
    4177,
    4178,
    4179,
    4182,
    4184,
    4186
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JOYA DE LOS SACHAS / ORELLANA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-22-725. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.