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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GONZALO PIZARRO / SUCUMBÍOS — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GONZALO PIZARRO / SUCUMBÍOS / SUCUMBÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-21-865

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GONZALO PIZARRO / SUCUMBÍOS / SUCUMBÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-43278e300a3d1d942f473007
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA36.9%
  • SUCUMBIOS POR EL CAMBIO28.8%
  • UNIDAD NUEVAS OPCIONES13.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAZÓNICO, MA8.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA1.9%
Results for event-16ddb4e44747acd27d09df5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · DARWIN AZES117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,43136.9%1Recorded
SUCUMBIOS POR EL CAMBIO · CECIBEL PRADO1133ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,90228.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD NUEVAS OPCIONES · EFREN GOMEZ1031ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202385513%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MANUEL SANTIN7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202370810.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAZÓNICO, MA · RICARDO MAZA BELTRAN233ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235748.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · VERONICA MANSILLA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231271.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO30.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO15.8%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD LEALTAD Y VICTORIA14.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAZÓNICO, MA11.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTAS 18 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 2010.8%
  • ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA CAMBIO Y PROGRESO PARA SUCUMBIOS4.7%
Results for event-737f7c408ccec16ee223050d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · SEGUNDO JARAMILLO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,93530%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · DARWIN AZES1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,01815.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD LEALTAD Y VICTORIA · RICARDO MAZA546ecuador/Sed7b513864/201992114.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · ANGEL PARREÑO37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201981512.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAZÓNICO, MA · LUIS BENJAMIN ORDOÑEZ INGA250ecuador/Sed7b513864/201976311.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTAS 18 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 · MANUEL RAMIREZ695ecuador/Sed7b513864/201969710.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA CAMBIO Y PROGRESO PARA SUCUMBIOS · MARCELO MORALES749ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193054.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"32.0%
  • ALIANZA PAIS - MUSHUK INTI. LISTAS 35-6123.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK21.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA12.9%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA6.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO4.3%
Results for event-c78aeb42feb27a09c4edfd91
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · ORDOÑEZ INGA LUIS BENJAMIN4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,82432%1Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS - MUSHUK INTI. LISTAS 35-61 · ORDOÑEZ OCAÑA CARLOS WALBERTO21004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,32423.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · RAMIREZ RAMIREZ MANUEL HUMBERTO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,23021.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · MINDA RODRIGO OSWALDO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201473612.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · MEJIA ARCOS JOSE OLMEDO EPIFAÑO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143446%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · MARTINEZ CISNEROS CARLOS EDMUNDO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142474.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.250–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.01879642261634, oldest_gap=8.764241893076246, previous_gap=14.208242950108461

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,10.732150977717144,0,0,0,89.26784902228286],[15.773163929346142,0,0,0,12.627827703749613,0,71.59900836690426],[0,6.02979842243646,21.56003505696757,4.329535495179667,12.900964066608239,0,55.17966695880806]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,10.732150977717144,0,0,0,89.26784902228286],[15.773163929346142,0,0,0,12.627827703749613,0,71.59900836690426],[0,6.02979842243646,21.56003505696757,4.329535495179667,12.900964066608239,0,55.17966695880806]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,10.732150977717144,0,0,0,89.26784902228286],[15.773163929346142,0,0,0,12.627827703749613,0,71.59900836690426],[0,6.02979842243646,21.56003505696757,4.329535495179667,12.900964066608239,0,55.17966695880806]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-118,427
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 865,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 21,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 8427,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-21-865",
  "name": "GONZALO PIZARRO / SUCUMBÍOS",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3971,
    3992,
    3994,
    3995,
    4051,
    4052,
    4053,
    4054,
    4055,
    4056,
    4057,
    4075
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GONZALO PIZARRO / SUCUMBÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-21-865. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.