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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ZAMORA / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ZAMORA / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE · municipal · MayorEC-M-19-655

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ZAMORA / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-31943a3228b7bc40240749b8
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • COMPROMISO Y PROGRESO32.0%
  • UNIDOS EN LA DIVERSIDAD28.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO PRIMERO MI ZAMORA, PRIMIZA19.4%
  • ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO12.4%
  • FRENTE DE UNIDAD POR LA EQUIDAD Y LA RENOVACIÓN7.2%
Results for event-d1e084912c2ef3c108022e9c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COMPROMISO Y PROGRESO · MANUEL GONZALEZ SALINAS1081ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,16732%1Recorded
UNIDOS EN LA DIVERSIDAD · WILMAN RODRIGUEZ1382ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,57228.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PRIMERO MI ZAMORA, PRIMIZA · MARIO RIGOBERTO PAZ OCAMPOS96ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,73819.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO · ANGEL MARQUEZ1066ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,39412.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE DE UNIDAD POR LA EQUIDAD Y LA RENOVACIÓN · HECTOR APOLO1468ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,3917.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES28.3%
  • ALIANZA POR LA DIGNIDAD Y EL DESARROLLO DEL CANTÓN ZAMORA25.6%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS24.8%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LA DIVERSIDAD DE ZAMORA16.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION5.1%
Results for event-35360a866bf17287ee4e1ac7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · VICTOR MANUEL GONZALEZ SALINAS22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,12028.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA DIGNIDAD Y EL DESARROLLO DEL CANTÓN ZAMORA · EDGAR RODRIGUEZ579ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,62225.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS · RODRIGO CABRERA618ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,48724.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LA DIVERSIDAD DE ZAMORA · JAIME EFRAIN FAREZ REYES553ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,93516.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · JAIME VINICIO ARMIJOS TAISHA18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199225.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO27.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO PRIMERO MI ZAMORA26.4%
  • ZAMORA CHINCHIPE RENACE22.4%
  • UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL DE LAS IZQUIERDAS PACHAKUTIK-MPD16.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA6.9%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.7%
Results for event-7485a0c78d742db7e58d3981
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO · APOLO BERRU HECTOR CORNELIO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,53627.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PRIMERO MI ZAMORA · RODRIGUEZ FLORES EDGAR ANGEL19004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,35526.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ZAMORA CHINCHIPE RENACE · RODRIGUEZ ERAZO SMILCAR ABRAHAM19007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,69822.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL DE LAS IZQUIERDAS PACHAKUTIK-MPD · ESPINOSA ORDOÑEZ HERMAN EDI19005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,65216.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · MACANCHI NARVAEZ RODIN RICHARD13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1436.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · ORDOÑEZ ARMIJOS GERMAN GUALBERTO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141120.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.088983490810925, oldest_gap=1.0972356935014567, previous_gap=2.7535110029857357

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,28.309189428287073,0,0,71.69081057171293],[0,0,0,27.49757516973812,6.928952473326867,0,65.57347235693503]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,28.309189428287073,0,0,71.69081057171293],[0,0,0,27.49757516973812,6.928952473326867,0,65.57347235693503]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,28.309189428287073,0,0,71.69081057171293],[0,0,0,27.49757516973812,6.928952473326867,0,65.57347235693503]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1125,268
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 655,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 19,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 25268,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-19-655",
  "name": "ZAMORA / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3929,
    3930,
    3931,
    3932,
    3933,
    3934,
    3935,
    3936,
    3937,
    3938,
    3939,
    3940,
    3941,
    3942,
    3943,
    3944,
    3945,
    3946,
    3947,
    3948,
    3949,
    3950,
    3951,
    3952
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ZAMORA / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-19-655. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.