Office briefing
TISALEO / TUNGURAHUA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · TISALEO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · municipal · MayorEC-M-18-90
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- TISALEO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-44f3f8cd7872b1160eea9f0a
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO46.2%
- PSC-TC, LISTA 6-6126.6%
- PARTIDO AVANZA15.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.4%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.8%
- OPORTUNIDADES0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · MILTON RAMIREZ | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,902 | 46.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PSC-TC, LISTA 6-61 · VICTOR ZUMBA | 1106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,245 | 26.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · JOSE DAVID DIAZ | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,321 | 15.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · GEOVANNI MANOTOA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 795 | 9.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · JENNY QUISPILEMA | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 68 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| OPORTUNIDADES · MONICA LESCANO | 1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 63 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · RONNIE JAVIER POVEDA MUÑOZ | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 46 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO41.6%
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA27.5%
- MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO14.2%
- MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO7.0%
- FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA6.1%
- CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA3.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO · VICTOR ZUMBA | 599ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,570 | 41.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · HERNAN BELTRAN | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,360 | 27.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO · LUZ MARIA PICO | 253ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,220 | 14.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO · RAUL AREVALO VACA | 561ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 597 | 7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA · ROBERT ZAMORA SANPEDRO | 602ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 526 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA · LUIS POAQUIZA | 603ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 312 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.3%
- PARTIDO AVANZA29.6%
- CREO-PSP-PRIAN17.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO12.6%
- PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO2.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · GARCES CAPUZ HECTOR RODRIGO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,843 | 37.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · BELTRAN GUERRERO EDGAR HERNAN | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,260 | 29.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO-PSP-PRIAN · BONILLA ESCOBAR SEGUNDO MIGUEL | 18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,359 | 17.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · CAPUZ PANIMBOZA CARLOS ESTUARDO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 958 | 12.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO · RAMOS GUERRERO SOPHIA LIZBETH | 18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 212 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI16.140–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.632701421800945, oldest_gap=7.638888888888893, previous_gap=14.094350611531741
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,15.651658767772512,9.419431279620854,0,0,0,74.92890995260663],null,[0,29.61215932914046,0,0,0,37.251048218029354,33.13679245283019]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,15.651658767772512,9.419431279620854,0,0,0,74.92890995260663],null,[0,29.61215932914046,0,0,0,37.251048218029354,33.13679245283019]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,15.651658767772512,9.419431279620854,0,0,0,74.92890995260663],null,[0,29.61215932914046,0,0,0,37.251048218029354,33.13679245283019]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 10,192 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 90,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 18,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 10192,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-18-90",
"name": "TISALEO / TUNGURAHUA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
3725,
3726,
3727,
3728
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “TISALEO / TUNGURAHUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-18-90. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.