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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUERTO QUITO / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PUERTO QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-896

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUERTO QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-23dd5ee5a86db7192267ac27
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS23.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA23.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11.0%
  • SUMATE AMIGO POR PUERTO QUITO10.8%
  • SOMOS PUERTO QUITO4.0%
  • VA POR TI2.0%
Results for event-a77644596bcd0980f1d4caf4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · VICTOR MIELES PALADINES39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,30025%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · ALEX AREVALO149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,14323.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JOSE VISTIN207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,09923.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · TITO AGUIRRE32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,45211%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SUMATE AMIGO POR PUERTO QUITO · PABLO CRIOLLO1293ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,42610.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS PUERTO QUITO · FREDDY RUIZ1349ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235274%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI · KARINA ROMERO1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232652%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO42.9%
  • ALIANZA PUERTO QUITO UNIDO POR EL DESARROLLO23.2%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 6517.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA12.8%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.5%
Results for event-4e74953ad74d3a833abf859a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · TITO MANUEL AGUIRRE JUMBO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,11342.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA PUERTO QUITO UNIDO POR EL DESARROLLO · ALEX AREVALO ACARO736ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,76323.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 65 · HOLGER ULVIO MONAR GUERRERO519ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,12717.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · SANTIAGO XAVIER MANCHENO PEREZ13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,52012.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · MARGARITA GAVILANEZ GAIBOR51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192151.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · ELENA HERNANDEZ BRITO142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191801.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO35.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA34.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS20.8%
  • ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE8.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"1.3%
Results for event-f6d0a0904da5d97976025f22
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · PARRAGA IBARRA NARCIZA ANTONIA10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,67535.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · AGUIRRE JUMBO TITO MANUEL6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,60534.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ERAZO SOLANO MAYRA YADIRA3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,17420.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE · VILLAGOMEZ ARGUELLO LUIS BENIGNO17011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148838.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · BORJA BORJA NAPOLEON DARWIN4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141371.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.1883136542537116, oldest_gap=0.6683215581439725, previous_gap=19.718073502265483

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[10.990009082652135,0,0,0,0,0,89.00999091734788],[42.90149353918443,0,0,0,0,12.753817754656822,44.34468870615875],[0,34.41856024441474,0,0,0,20.756158105785754,44.8252816497995]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[10.990009082652135,0,0,0,0,0,89.00999091734788],[42.90149353918443,0,0,0,0,12.753817754656822,44.34468870615875],[0,34.41856024441474,0,0,0,20.756158105785754,44.8252816497995]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[10.990009082652135,0,0,0,0,0,89.00999091734788],[42.90149353918443,0,0,0,0,12.753817754656822,44.34468870615875],[0,34.41856024441474,0,0,0,20.756158105785754,44.8252816497995]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1118,492
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 896,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 18492,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-896",
  "name": "PUERTO QUITO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3325,
    3361,
    3411,
    3418,
    3419,
    3433,
    3434
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PUERTO QUITO / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-896. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.