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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-895

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-7d6c8fb45ac7be644cdd93f8
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA35.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA30.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.7%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR7.6%
  • VA POR TI2.8%
  • ALIANZA PSC-SUMA2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.3%
  • VAMOS AL CAMBIO0.7%
Results for event-ef724968f4d3e73593fc80d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ROBERTH ARROBO117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,49635.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · MAIRA AGUILAR207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,05730.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · FAUSTO AMBULUDI101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,95719.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ERLY BASTIDAS231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237597.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI · CARLOS BURNEO1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232832.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PSC-SUMA · JHOON CORREA1015ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231992%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SOFIA ALEJANDRA FREIRE LARCO7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231331.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOS AL CAMBIO · DAVID CORONEL1419ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023660.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA32.5%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 6531.1%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UN NUEVO PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO22.9%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR5.0%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA4.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.5%
Results for event-da6902b82300ed14c4f813e4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · FABRISIO AMBULUDI BUSTAMANTE25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,92432.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 65 · FREDDY ARROBO519ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,79931.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UN NUEVO PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO · JAVIER JARAMILLO573ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,06422.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · PATRICIO DAVILA143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194465%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MARIA JUDITH PANATA COLOMA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194344.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · VILMA PARRAGA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191691.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · BYRON ALBERTO AMORES KAROLYS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191291.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · NELSON VICENTE ROJAS18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019450.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA38.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS35.6%
  • ALIANZA FADIC-MPD22.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"1.1%
Results for event-bd8d5c19f5ebfe3186e65a85
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · AMBULUDI BUSTAMANTE WALTER FABRISIO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,22538.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · EGUEZ FALCON PACIFICO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,99235.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA FADIC-MPD · BORJA URBANO HECTOR EFRAIN17015ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,90222.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · VILLA ESPINOZA JORGE ROLANDO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141872.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · CUEVA SARANGO FRANCISCO EMILIO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014921.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

83.30–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.4120603015075375, oldest_gap=2.7744701119314144, previous_gap=1.3873473917869

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,19.668341708542712,1.3366834170854272,0,0,0,78.99497487437186],[1.8756936736958933,0,0,0,0,0,98.12430632630411],[0,38.40200047630388,0,2.2267206477732793,0,35.62753036437247,23.743748511550372]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

76.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,19.668341708542712,1.3366834170854272,0,0,0,78.99497487437186],[1.8756936736958933,0,0,0,0,0,98.12430632630411],[0,38.40200047630388,0,2.2267206477732793,0,35.62753036437247,23.743748511550372]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,19.668341708542712,1.3366834170854272,0,0,0,78.99497487437186],[1.8756936736958933,0,0,0,0,0,98.12430632630411],[0,38.40200047630388,0,2.2267206477732793,0,35.62753036437247,23.743748511550372]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,261
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 895,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13261,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-895",
  "name": "PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3209,
    3399,
    3420,
    3431,
    3432
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PEDRO VICENTE MALDONADO / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-895. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.