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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-770

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-d2ea2462428a0124777b60b5
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA34.9%
  • PSC - SUMA - MCA23.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS15.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA8.2%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA7.1%
  • UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO6.9%
  • VA POR TI2.5%
  • QUITO VUELVE2.2%
Results for event-94f882daf30ba3a35c9c7804
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · LUIS SUQUI101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,26034.9%1Recorded
PSC - SUMA - MCA · MARCO VINICIO PESANTEZ1274ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,15523.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · MARLENE GORDILLO149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,40915.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JARICTZA ALVAREZ207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237648.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · FIDEL YAGUACHI117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236637.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO · NUBIA PIZARRO1087ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236446.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI · ARIANA TAMAYO BUSTOS1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232322.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
QUITO VUELVE · ANELIO JARAMILLO1319ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232052.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 10639.3%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA24.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA20.8%
  • ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS10.0%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS2.6%
Results for event-9f0d12ec2310cc3073ac2b8e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 106 · MARCO CALLE504ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,34139.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · LUIS EDUARDO SUQUI MOROCHO25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,08424.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · SULEMA PIZARRO13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,77320.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS · ALFONSO VIDAL TORRES662ecuador/Sed7b513864/201985010%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · BENIGNO VILLAGOMEZ ARGUELLO158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192322.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · LUIS YANEZ142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192242.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS30.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS30.5%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA20.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO15.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD2.8%
Results for event-102b83575c11e10c946b4b8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · PIZARRO CANDO NUBIA SULEMA3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,25930.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS · CALLE AVILA MARCO MIGUEL17007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,22630.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · SUQUI MOROCHO LUIS EDUARDO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,50420.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · RAMOS TANDAZO PEDRO AMABLE8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,11315.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD · JARAMILLO ROJAS FREDDY ERAZMO17010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142042.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

42.080–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.840977282468927, oldest_gap=0.45168354776895825, previous_gap=14.781279397930387

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,34.93356193741963,0,0,0,0,65.06643806258037],[0,0,0,0,0,20.849012229539042,79.15098777046097],[0,20.5858198740761,0,15.234054202025732,0,30.91979195182042,33.260333972077746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,34.93356193741963,0,0,0,0,65.06643806258037],[0,0,0,0,0,20.849012229539042,79.15098777046097],[0,20.5858198740761,0,15.234054202025732,0,30.91979195182042,33.260333972077746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,34.93356193741963,0,0,0,0,65.06643806258037],[0,0,0,0,0,20.849012229539042,79.15098777046097],[0,20.5858198740761,0,15.234054202025732,0,30.91979195182042,33.260333972077746]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1112,330
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 770,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 12330,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-770",
  "name": "SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3357,
    3364,
    3428,
    3429,
    3430,
    3512,
    3521
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-770. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.