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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-75

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-be2f09c291d14ab9f1617218
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO40.8%
  • BANDOLA VIVE27.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA23.0%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA6.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS1.8%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR1.0%
Results for event-3fe2eac56cc77713c2744232
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO · VERONICA SANCHEZ1059ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,76640.8%1Recorded
BANDOLA VIVE · VIRGILIO ANDRANGO1209ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,50127.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · CARLOS VALLEJO BURNEO207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,51523%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MARTHA TOAPANTA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,5176.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · BOLIVAR OBANDO149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234271.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ALEXIS TITUAÑA231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232341%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA BANDOLA VIVE - CONCERTACIÓN24.2%
  • ALIANZA SUMA 23 - DEMOCRACIA SI 2020.2%
  • ALIANZA PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO17.9%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PEDROMONCAYENSE 35-11415.9%
  • ALIANZA MIRAS 101 - CREO 2113.7%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION INDEPENDIENTE RENACER, AIRE1.7%
Results for event-2b6ad7f545e48880b915bbcb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA BANDOLA VIVE - CONCERTACIÓN · VIRGILIO ANDRANGO515ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,13224.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA SUMA 23 - DEMOCRACIA SI 20 · VERONICA SANCHEZ572ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,27920.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO · CARLOS VALLEJO BURNEO657ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,78817.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PEDROMONCAYENSE 35-114 · FRANK BORYS GUALSAQUI521ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,35815.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA MIRAS 101 - CREO 21 · ENRIQUE BOADA513ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,89313.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MARTHA TOAPANTA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3686.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION INDEPENDIENTE RENACER, AIRE · JOSE LINO CABASCANGO249ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193591.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS26.1%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA/MIRAS25.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD CANTONAL BANDOLA VIVE25.0%
  • ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE17.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO1.6%
Results for event-84f1abc9139c104bf49bb2b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · GUALSAQUI RIVERA FRANK BORYS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,65226.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA/MIRAS · BOADA VIZCAINO MILTON ENRIQUE17014ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,52025.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD CANTONAL BANDOLA VIVE · ANDRANGO CUASCOTA VIRGILIO17005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,47025%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE · OBANDO VALENCIA BOLIVAR17011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,05817.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · CALUGUILLIN CUASCOTA JOSE JULIAN10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148784.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · IBARRA ESCUDERO JORGE ERNESTO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142791.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

52.710–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.62687813021703, oldest_gap=0.7392059136473073, previous_gap=4.02795485668414

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,1.5624124992999944,0,26.05140841126729,72.38617908943272]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,1.5624124992999944,0,26.05140841126729,72.38617908943272]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,1.5624124992999944,0,26.05140841126729,72.38617908943272]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1131,836
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 75,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 31836,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-75",
  "name": "PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3294,
    3295,
    3296,
    3409,
    3556,
    3557,
    3558
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-75. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.