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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-65

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-caf17a8465795e95099f23b5
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RENACE34.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK18.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO16.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA14.2%
  • VA POR TI11.3%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.7%
  • MINKA - MINGA KAYAMBI2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS1.0%
Results for event-4bedbf7e04bf8967366f7724
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RENACE · ALBERTO MASAPANTA1094ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320,31834.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · PEDRO ESPIN TERAN7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202310,73318%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · DIEGO BONIFAZ124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,65916.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · FAUSTO JARRIN207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,47614.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI · IVAN CORDOVA1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,75111.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · SANDRA ESTEFANIA REYES VENEGAS117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6182.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MINKA - MINGA KAYAMBI · EDISON PATRICIO OÑA1181ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,4562.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · ROSA TORRES149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235791%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK38.8%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA20.0%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA12.4%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - COMPROMISO 1096.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL5.1%
  • ALIANZA CAYAMBE NOS UNE3.1%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO3.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA2.7%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - UNIDAD POPULAR 22.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS1.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.2%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.8%
Results for event-6472faa8fa4b1bb59f62fb06
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · GUILLERMO CHURUCHUMBI12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,57938.8%1Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · ALBERTO MASAPANTA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,65820%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · IVAN PATRICIO CORDOVA HERRERA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,20912.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - COMPROMISO 109 · WILLIAM PERUGACHI518ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,9836.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · FAUSTO JARRIN ZAMBRANO148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,9915.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CAYAMBE NOS UNE · NELSON QUINCHE ALVAREZ570ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7773.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · JOSE MARIA TUQUERRES145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7753%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · MAURICIO VALLEJO13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,5862.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - UNIDAD POPULAR 2 · DOLORES SILVA JARRIN733ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2512.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · VICTOR PEREZ CARTAGENA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0261.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · CARLOS PIÑEIROS ROSALES166ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197621.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · MAURICIO TARANTO142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197161.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · LEONIDAS JARRIN158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194510.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · REINALDO GUAMANI18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194370.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PACHAKUTIK-AVANZA29.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO28.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO VIVE16.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.9%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
Results for event-4465d0880cb266213d11173e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PACHAKUTIK-AVANZA · CHURUCHUMBI LECHON LUIS GUILLERMO17013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201414,96329.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · PERUGACHI CEVALLOS WILLIAM ALCIVIADES10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201414,18528.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ACERO FIDEL3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,14822.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VIVE · BONIFAZ ANDRADE DIEGO RAFAEL DE LA SANTISIMA TRINI17001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,10416.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · CEVALLOS CARTAGENA LILIAN BIETA8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1432.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · PASPUEZAN POZO SEGUNDO HIPOLITO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144470.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · SANCHEZ GAMBOA LUIS ALBERTO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142530.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

22.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.08491357610337, oldest_gap=1.5484744143462805, previous_gap=18.764282400646035

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,18.011411310622588,0,0,0,81.98858868937741],[1.7628563083108537,0,38.79486606759334,0,0,2.7250390886754525,56.71723853542034],[0,0,0,2.274943773261947,0,22.18816551559421,75.53689071114383]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,18.011411310622588,0,0,0,81.98858868937741],[1.7628563083108537,0,38.79486606759334,0,0,2.7250390886754525,56.71723853542034],[0,0,0,2.274943773261947,0,22.18816551559421,75.53689071114383]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,18.011411310622588,0,0,0,81.98858868937741],[1.7628563083108537,0,38.79486606759334,0,0,2.7250390886754525,56.71723853542034],[0,0,0,2.274943773261947,0,22.18816551559421,75.53689071114383]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1186,638
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 65,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 86638,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-65",
  "name": "CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3238,
    3239,
    3301,
    3302,
    3303,
    3304,
    3305,
    3306,
    3307,
    3308,
    3309,
    3310,
    3311,
    3363,
    3412,
    3517,
    3518,
    3519,
    3646
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-65. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.