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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

QUITO / PICHINCHA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · MayorEC-M-17-60

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-803d62302454763cc475bd9e
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA25.2%
  • JUNTOS POR LA GENTE22.2%
  • UIO, UNIDOS INCLUYENTES Y ORGANIZADOS22.0%
  • QUITO VUELVE12.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA4.7%
  • VA POR TI3.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.8%
  • ORDEN Y SEGURIDAD PARA QUITO2.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS1.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO0.7%
Results for event-b4cfd712feffb834bfab3951
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · PABEL MUÑOZ207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023347,92425.2%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA GENTE · JORGE YUNDA1091ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023306,70322.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UIO, UNIDOS INCLUYENTES Y ORGANIZADOS · PEDRO JOSE FREILE1397ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023303,55722%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
QUITO VUELVE · ANDRES PAEZ1319ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023174,72612.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · PABLO PONCE117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202364,7804.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI · LUZ ELENA COLOMA1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202354,1473.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · NATASHA ROJAS231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202339,1392.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ORDEN Y SEGURIDAD PARA QUITO · PATRICIO ALARCON1267ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330,7892.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · LUISA MALDONADO101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202319,2431.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · JESSICA JARAMILLO149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317,5331.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MARIA JOSE CARRION208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312,8550.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · OMAR CEVALLOS124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202310,3320.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION ECUATORIANA21.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL18.4%
  • ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA - DEMOCRACIA SÍ - VIVE17.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION16.9%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 656.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS4.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO3.5%
  • ALIANZA ECUATORIANO UNIDO-PARTIDO SOCIALISTA2.1%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION DEMOCRATICA ECUATORIANA, ADE1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.1%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS0.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO0.3%
  • FUERZA.EC0.3%
Results for event-5fb9194bb99ae67b6a250a16
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION ECUATORIANA · JORGE YUNDA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019296,09621.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · LUISA MALDONADO148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019255,00718.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA - DEMOCRACIA SÍ - VIVE · PACO MONCAYO523ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019246,14217.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · CESAR MONTUFAR18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019234,42216.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 65 · JUAN CARLOS HOLGUIN519ecuador/Sed7b513864/201995,0166.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · JUAN CARLOS SOLINES142ecuador/Sed7b513864/201961,1154.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · PAOLA VINTIMILLA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201948,8963.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ECUATORIANO UNIDO-PARTIDO SOCIALISTA · MARIA SOL CORRAL ZAMBRANO615ecuador/Sed7b513864/201928,9942.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · ANDRES PASQUEL25ecuador/Sed7b513864/201927,1542%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION DEMOCRATICA ECUATORIANA, ADE · JOSE VASQUEZ CASTRO226ecuador/Sed7b513864/201926,6551.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · PABLO DAVALOS12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,7981.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · EDGAR JACOME158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,2370.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · CARLOS EDMUNDO SEVILLA DALGO235ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,2190.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS · PATRICIO GUAYAQUIL CORTEZ166ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,4290.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · ANDRES BENAVIDES3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,1270.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · OLIVIO SARZOSA170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,8890.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · LUIS XAVIER BUENDIA VENEGAS145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,1680.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · VICTOR HUGO ERAZO146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,0960.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE58.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS38.0%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.8%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.4%
Results for event-50876546d91f1621654d3c92
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE · RODAS ESPINEL MAURICIO ESTEBAN17011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014823,86958.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · BARRERA GUARDERAS ADRIAN AUGUSTO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014534,86338%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · BENITEZ PULLOQUINGA JESSICA ALEXANDRA1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,4701.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CASTILLO MALDONADO MILTON GUILLERMO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,2851.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · ERAZO RODRIGUEZ VICTOR HUGO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,9140.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · PEREZ SANCHEZ GONZALO ANTONIO9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,7510.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.330–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.983293383357651, oldest_gap=20.538364014690664, previous_gap=2.9678719500743966

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,1.3926764167766739,0,0,0,0,98.60732358322332],[3.531774121318059,0,1.1410947228522312,0,0,0,95.3271311558297],[0,0,1.0862365970413999,0,0,38.01032155730156,60.90344184565704]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,1.3926764167766739,0,0,0,0,98.60732358322332],[3.531774121318059,0,1.1410947228522312,0,0,0,95.3271311558297],[0,0,1.0862365970413999,0,0,38.01032155730156,60.90344184565704]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,1.3926764167766739,0,0,0,0,98.60732358322332],[3.531774121318059,0,1.1410947228522312,0,0,0,95.3271311558297],[0,0,1.0862365970413999,0,0,38.01032155730156,60.90344184565704]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-112,067,791
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 60,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 2067791,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-17-60",
  "name": "QUITO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
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  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “QUITO / PICHINCHA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-17-60. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.