Office briefing
ARAJUNO / PASTAZA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · ARAJUNO / PASTAZA / PASTAZA · municipal · MayorEC-M-16-881
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ARAJUNO / PASTAZA / PASTAZA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-07d8848eeffd057957ddc771
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK48.7%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC29.7%
- UNIDOS POR PASTAZA10.3%
- PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS9.5%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DARWIN TANGUILA ANDY | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,434 | 48.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC · MARIO LOPEZ | 151ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,484 | 29.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR PASTAZA · CESAR GREFA | 1398ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 515 | 10.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS · MARIA HUATATOCA | 1247ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 477 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JOSE IVAN LIZANO GAMBOA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 87 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA37.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK34.7%
- ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 615.0%
- UNION ECUATORIANA10.3%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA · CESAR GREFA | 595ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,656 | 37.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DARWIN TANGUILA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,519 | 34.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 6 · PEDRO GREFA | 554ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 657 | 15% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · PORFIRIO MAYANCHA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 453 | 10.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · LUCIANO ARAGON | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 96 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK29.8%
- JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA25.0%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA19.8%
- ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 2113.3%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA12.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · TANGUILA ANDY ELARIO GERARDO | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,003 | 29.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA · GREFA AVILEZ CESAR NEPTALI | 16007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 840 | 25% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA · SANTI CHIMBO ALFONSO SAMUEL | 16002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 664 | 19.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 21 · SARANGO MASACHE ANGEL MARIN | 16005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 447 | 13.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CERDA HUATATUCA PEDRO RAUL | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 408 | 12.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI35.850–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.011406844106467, oldest_gap=4.848304580606783, previous_gap=3.1271399223921463
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility14.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,48.709225535321195,0,0,0,51.29077446467881],[0,0,34.67244921250856,0,0,0,65.32755078749143],[0,0,29.83343248066627,0,12.135633551457465,0,58.030933967876265]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.14percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,48.709225535321195,0,0,0,51.29077446467881],[0,0,34.67244921250856,0,0,0,65.32755078749143],[0,0,29.83343248066627,0,12.135633551457465,0,58.030933967876265]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.09percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,48.709225535321195,0,0,0,51.29077446467881],[0,0,34.67244921250856,0,0,0,65.32755078749143],[0,0,29.83343248066627,0,12.135633551457465,0,58.030933967876265]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 6,838 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 881,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 16,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 6838,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-16-881",
"name": "ARAJUNO / PASTAZA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
3114,
3124,
3125,
3126,
3137,
3138,
3142,
3143,
3156,
3160,
3179,
3184
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ARAJUNO / PASTAZA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-16-881. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.