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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MERA / PASTAZA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MERA / PASTAZA / PASTAZA · municipal · MayorEC-M-16-685

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MERA / PASTAZA / PASTAZA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-1466cb8e4b902414b390056f
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • YO APOYO A LA EXPERIENCIA34.8%
  • ¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA!31.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.6%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR8.9%
  • PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA3.3%
  • UNIDOS POR PASTAZA1.6%
Results for event-8eac5c91b1ea5b83389e261e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
YO APOYO A LA EXPERIENCIA · GUSTAVO SILVA1002ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,72334.8%1Recorded
¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA! · CRISTIAN CHIMBORAZO1009ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,45331.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MERY CAMINO REYES7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,29416.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · RODRIGO CAIN231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236988.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS · JESSI ENGELMANN1247ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232623.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JENNIFER LAURA FRANCO207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232603.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR PASTAZA · ALEXANDRA PILAMALA1398ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231271.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS32.3%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 626.3%
  • EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA22.0%
  • UNIDOS POR MERA11.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES7.0%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.2%
Results for event-88855ced0fcd74b588237c3a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · GUIDMON TAMAYO AMORES142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,40132.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 6 · NIC LOZA554ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,96026.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA · GUSTAVO SILVA557ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,63522%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR MERA · BERNARD HARDY WIESNER TORRES614ecuador/Sed7b513864/201983711.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · FAVIAN VINICIO CAMPAÑA TORRES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195217%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · HENRY SANCHEZ158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019861.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA DEL PUEBLO LISTAS 61-10137.4%
  • JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA33.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA28.6%
Results for event-5bb6ac8379753d88df8815d9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA DEL PUEBLO LISTAS 61-101 · SILVA VILCACUNDO LUIS GUSTAVO16006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,22537.4%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA · LOZA LESCANO WILLAM NIC16007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,01733.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · TAMAYO AMORES GUIDMON EDMUNDO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,70028.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.454010489957785, oldest_gap=3.5005048805116132, previous_gap=5.927419354838712

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,16.55366508890879,0,0,0,83.44633491109123],[0,0,0,7.002688172043011,0,0,92.99731182795699],[0,0,0,0,28.6098956580276,0,71.3901043419724]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,16.55366508890879,0,0,0,83.44633491109123],[0,0,0,7.002688172043011,0,0,92.99731182795699],[0,0,0,0,28.6098956580276,0,71.3901043419724]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,16.55366508890879,0,0,0,83.44633491109123],[0,0,0,7.002688172043011,0,0,92.99731182795699],[0,0,0,0,28.6098956580276,0,71.3901043419724]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1110,610
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 685,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 16,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 10610,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-16-685",
  "name": "MERA / PASTAZA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3140,
    3170,
    3177,
    3178,
    3198,
    3199,
    3200
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MERA / PASTAZA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-16-685. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.