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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ARCHIDONA / NAPO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ARCHIDONA / NAPO / NAPO · municipal · MayorEC-M-15-700

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ARCHIDONA / NAPO / NAPO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-57cc0ff2838a2a1677c043a4
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 3-8-21-6147.8%
  • SOMOS AGUA27.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK13.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA9.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.9%
Results for event-afe2c9cd618cee0fff22a8aa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 3-8-21-61 · AMADA GREFA1255ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,00447.8%1Recorded
SOMOS AGUA · MIGUEL ANGEL MOLINA ARMIJOS1034ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,17427.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SLENDY CERDA7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,50313.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · ROSA TANGUILA BERMEO42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,7209.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO · DANIELA OTERO HIDALGO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232641.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DORIAN ESTUPIÑAN CABRERA157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231660.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PONTE ONCE OBRAS Y TRABAJO36.7%
  • ALIANZA ANTISUYO USHITO - DEMOCRACIA SI 61/2026.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12.4%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR8.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO6.5%
  • ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO3.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO MI CHONTA1.2%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA1.0%
Results for event-af4e41f406c9b906434d0a00
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PONTE ONCE OBRAS Y TRABAJO · ANDRES BONILLA525ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,22236.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA ANTISUYO USHITO - DEMOCRACIA SI 61/20 · AMADA GREFA TAPUY527ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,41226%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JOSE AVILES HUATATOCA12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,09812.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · YADIRA SARABIA143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4488.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · MARCO PUEBLA3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1006.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO · JUAN MIGUEL CHIMBO NARVAEZ610ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196073.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · BOLIVAR OTERO LLORI219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194832.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · ANGEL TUNAY18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192231.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO MI CHONTA · TELMO ARELLANO241ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191951.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · LEONOR CHIMBO51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191661%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS34.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA24.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA9.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO9.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO3.2%
Results for event-a30a59c1b47dda4fb4056bc1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · SHIGUANGO PISANGO JAIME GUSTAVO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,94734.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · BONILLA ABRIL TELMO ANDRES6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,54124.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · TOAPANTA BASTIDAS JOSE ALEJANDRO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,79119.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · PAREDES TORRES NELSON RENAN13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,4319.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · PROAÑO REYES PEDRO OCTAVIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,3529.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · ROSALES RUBIO LIDER MIGUEL ANGEL8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144623.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

18.130–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.338803037544473, oldest_gap=9.680528779950425, previous_gap=10.675946679249734

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,13.291912272316925,0,0,0,86.70808772768306],[0,0,12.37466084699776,0,0,0,87.62533915300226],[0,24.3803359955935,0,3.180941889286698,9.852657670063344,34.060864775543926,28.52519966951253]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,13.291912272316925,0,0,0,86.70808772768306],[0,0,12.37466084699776,0,0,0,87.62533915300226],[0,24.3803359955935,0,3.180941889286698,9.852657670063344,34.060864775543926,28.52519966951253]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,13.291912272316925,0,0,0,86.70808772768306],[0,0,12.37466084699776,0,0,0,87.62533915300226],[0,24.3803359955935,0,3.180941889286698,9.852657670063344,34.060864775543926,28.52519966951253]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1124,719
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 700,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 15,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 24719,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-15-700",
  "name": "ARCHIDONA / NAPO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3024,
    3025,
    3026,
    3028,
    3033,
    3081,
    3082,
    3083,
    3084,
    3085,
    3087,
    3088,
    3089,
    3090,
    3091,
    3092,
    3093,
    3096,
    3103,
    3110,
    3111
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ARCHIDONA / NAPO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-15-700. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.