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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TENA / NAPO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · TENA / NAPO / NAPO · municipal · MayorEC-M-15-620

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TENA / NAPO / NAPO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8b61baedd18fd2baae4c9313
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK33.2%
  • ALIANZA 3-12-21-6131.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO10.1%
  • SOMOS AGUA7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID4.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA1.7%
Results for event-1a06d4b0edd6c66fc3d342d8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JIMMY REYES7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202314,45433.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA 3-12-21-61 · LENIN GREFA1256ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202313,64531.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO · LEODAN CORDOVA226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,38510.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS AGUA · OMAR CONSTANTE1034ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,4447.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE · CESAR SOLORZANO18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,4995.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · LORENA LICUY222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,1094.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · OLEGARIO VALAREZO LAPO42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1972.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · VICENTE CHANG124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0952.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · CHRISTIAN BAHAMONDE207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237291.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO39.4%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PACHAKUTIK - SUMA22.3%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA11.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION8.9%
  • ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO4.5%
  • ALIANZA ANTISUYO4.2%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA3.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL1.7%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR0.9%
Results for event-c7bed9742a99ce1bfbc96ff2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · CARLOS GUEVARA3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,48139.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PACHAKUTIK - SUMA · JIMMY REYES517ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,74822.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · KLEVER RON25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,63211.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · LEODAN CORDOVA18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,4918.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO · PABLO SAMUEL TORRES VILLAMAGUA610ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7604.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ANTISUYO · CESAR ANIBAL ESPINDOLA LARA597ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6444.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · SONIA LUCRECIA CERDA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2603.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · GINA SANMIGUEL1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2293.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · CARLOS ANDI INTRIAGO148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196801.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · BOLIVAR NUÑEZ LUZURIAGA143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193610.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO36.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"28.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA15.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS11.2%
  • P.S.C.LISTA 6 Y MAC 634.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NAPO VIVE1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICADOR AMAZONICO/MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.7%
Results for event-2023b21de64e48925fb88b2f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO · RON KLEVER ESTANISLAO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,05236.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · GUEVARA BARRERA CARLOS ALONSO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,50928.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · DALGO BALLESTEROS FERNANDO XAVIER6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,06615.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · SANMIGUEL PALACIOS GINA ZITA3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,71211.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P.S.C.LISTA 6 Y MAC 63 · SHIGUANGO GREFA LIDIA PRISCILA15007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,6324.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NAPO VIVE · BORBUA ESPINEL ANIBAL RENAN15002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146361.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICADOR AMAZONICO/MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · VEGA GUTIERREZ MARCELO EFRAIN15008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142530.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CHIRIBOGA CHIRIBOGA DANIEL ALFREDO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142410.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.8573363638450786, oldest_gap=7.6825473550647985, previous_gap=17.13842081148501

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,33.184103588401406,0,0,0,66.81589641159859],[3.128340884793565,0,0,0,0,0,96.87165911520644],[0,15.304673574816471,0,36.40977613969366,0.7280746805232471,11.214162714117398,36.34331289084921]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,33.184103588401406,0,0,0,66.81589641159859],[3.128340884793565,0,0,0,0,0,96.87165911520644],[0,15.304673574816471,0,36.40977613969366,0.7280746805232471,11.214162714117398,36.34331289084921]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,33.184103588401406,0,0,0,66.81589641159859],[3.128340884793565,0,0,0,0,0,96.87165911520644],[0,15.304673574816471,0,36.40977613969366,0.7280746805232471,11.214162714117398,36.34331289084921]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1161,032
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 620,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 15,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 61032,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-15-620",
  "name": "TENA / NAPO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3018,
    3019,
    3020,
    3022,
    3023,
    3027,
    3030,
    3031,
    3032,
    3034,
    3035,
    3036,
    3037,
    3047,
    3048,
    3049,
    3050,
    3051,
    3052,
    3053,
    3054,
    3055,
    3056,
    3057,
    3058,
    3059,
    3060,
    3061,
    3062,
    3063,
    3064,
    3065,
    3066,
    3067,
    3068,
    3069,
    3070,
    3086,
    3094,
    3095,
    3097,
    3098,
    3099,
    3100,
    3102,
    3104,
    3105,
    3106,
    3107,
    3108,
    3109,
    3112,
    3113
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TENA / NAPO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-15-620. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.