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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TIWINTZA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · TIWINTZA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO · municipal · MayorEC-M-14-797

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TIWINTZA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4c705c97b9b9344d4d0b3228
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK61.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO36.7%
  • SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.5%
Results for event-bd249ecd6d10071adb8ac402
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · KLEBER ANTICH7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,01861.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · WILFRIDO CALLE34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,80036.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO · DANIELA ORELLANA1243ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023330.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · HECTOR COLALA99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023310.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · JENNIFER AWAK117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023230.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO50.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK45.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES3.7%
Results for event-c7f436c3b882f43582ac7480
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · WILFRIDO CALLE3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,29950.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DOMINGO UNKUCH12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,04845.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JORGE CHAMIK22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191673.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK45.2%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO43.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS11.7%
Results for event-bea807b45509eb3d042e8156
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MANKASH SHIMPIU TUITS OSWALDO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,58345.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO · CALLE BRITO WILFRIDO EDILBERTO14004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,50743%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · INTRIAGO VEGA DOLORES NARCISA3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201441111.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

16.080–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.831804281345562, oldest_gap=2.170808340474153, previous_gap=5.560478511298179

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,61.52905198776758,0.6320081549439348,0,0,37.83893985728848],[0,0,45.36996012405849,3.699601240584847,0,0,50.930438635356666],[0,0,45.21565267066553,0,0,11.739502999143102,43.044844330191374]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,61.52905198776758,0.6320081549439348,0,0,37.83893985728848],[0,0,45.36996012405849,3.699601240584847,0,0,50.930438635356666],[0,0,45.21565267066553,0,0,11.739502999143102,43.044844330191374]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,61.52905198776758,0.6320081549439348,0,0,37.83893985728848],[0,0,45.36996012405849,3.699601240584847,0,0,50.930438635356666],[0,0,45.21565267066553,0,0,11.739502999143102,43.044844330191374]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-117,366
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 797,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 14,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 7366,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-14-797",
  "name": "TIWINTZA / MORONA SANTIAGO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2830,
    2839,
    2871,
    2880,
    2890,
    2892,
    2911,
    2925,
    2954,
    2970,
    3008,
    3009
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TIWINTZA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-14-797. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.