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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMÓN INDANZA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LIMÓN INDANZA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO · municipal · MayorEC-M-14-600

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMÓN INDANZA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-b4ab134a81eb2606c5f1e343
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA35.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK32.8%
  • SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO28.5%
  • HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO3.7%
Results for event-3086c737aa6101fb8f96e015
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ANTONIO CASTILLO117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,18935%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ERIK BUSTAMANTE7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,05032.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO · GABRIELA VALVERDE1243ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,78028.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO · JONNY MARTINEZ1252ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232343.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK45.3%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 3528.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES20.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CANTONAL POR EL CAMBIO SUMA 23-MAS 1015.8%
Results for event-1267415c020147dfe4a6a6d3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ERIK BUSTAMANTE RAMOS12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,87445.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 35 · FREDDY TORRES514ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,81828.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · BLEIXEN LORENA FERNANDEZ22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,28620.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CANTONAL POR EL CAMBIO SUMA 23-MAS 101 · MIGUEL ORTEGA686ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193685.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA28.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO10.4%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO5.8%
Results for event-c51666c8aedafae1b529e2b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · TORRES MONTENEGRO FREDDY BOLIVAR3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,37840.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · CASTILLO ORELLANA ANTONIO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,68228.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MARTINEZ SUSUMANCHI CRISTOBAL SAVIO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201484914.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO · CAJAMARCA MARILES SEGUNDO TARQUINO14002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201461210.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO · SAMANIEGO SUAREZ TERESIO EDMUNDO14004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143425.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

62.440–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.222932992163763, oldest_gap=11.871055773494799, previous_gap=16.640403403718878

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,32.78426355349432,0,0,0,67.21573644650567],[0,0,45.28837062716672,20.264733690513708,0,0,34.44689568231957],[0,28.68838478594576,14.480641309909602,0,0,40.55944055944056,16.271533344704075]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

69.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,32.78426355349432,0,0,0,67.21573644650567],[0,0,45.28837062716672,20.264733690513708,0,0,34.44689568231957],[0,28.68838478594576,14.480641309909602,0,0,40.55944055944056,16.271533344704075]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,32.78426355349432,0,0,0,67.21573644650567],[0,0,45.28837062716672,20.264733690513708,0,0,34.44689568231957],[0,28.68838478594576,14.480641309909602,0,0,40.55944055944056,16.271533344704075]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-118,406
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 600,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 14,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 8406,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-14-600",
  "name": "LIMÓN INDANZA / MORONA SANTIAGO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2835,
    2917,
    2918,
    2923,
    2947,
    2948,
    2997,
    2998,
    2999,
    3000,
    3001,
    3002,
    3003
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMÓN INDANZA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-14-600. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.