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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUERTO LÓPEZ / MANABÍ — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PUERTO LÓPEZ / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-975

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUERTO LÓPEZ / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-d144fb6ff14b4c919edaaefd
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7246.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES21.3%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA11.9%
  • MANABITAMENTE10.7%
  • 1-337.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.8%
Results for event-c2468c7ac9ebde63c3fe41d7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · OMAR MENENDEZ1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,95846%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JAVIER PINCAY208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,22721.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · COLON IZURIETA1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,80811.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MANABITAMENTE · JIMMY CEVALLOS1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,61710.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
1-33 · DIGNA ESMERITA QUIJIJE MERO1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1477.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MIGUEL VILLAO117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232551.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · JULEISY CRUZ39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231210.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 1741.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA15.9%
  • ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7214.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO7.9%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 657.7%
  • FUERZA.EC6.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.9%
Results for event-bd4e6d4f8bb38f3335eec616
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · JAVIER PINCAY732ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,08241.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JIMMY CEVALLOS REYES37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,30515.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72 · COLON ELOY IZURIETA VASCONEZ673ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,07314.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · BYRON DELGADO FLORES219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1437.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · CINERMAN YONI MIRANDA TOALA711ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1157.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · DARLING MARCILLO FLORES146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198746%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · GONZALO CADENA148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196614.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · NELLY LUCIO18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192711.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA30.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK26.3%
  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6520.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO19.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.2%
Results for event-09f06f0a901af6c2709fb739
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · PLUA MURILLO MIGUEL ECUADOR6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,92230.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · PINCAY CHANCAY JHONNY JAVIER5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,41926.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · BONILLA ESTRELLA RIGOBERTO TOBIAS13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,63920.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · IZURIETA VASCONEZ COLON ELOY8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,50019.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ARCOS VARGAS ROBINSON GERMAN10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143582.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · FIGUEROA ARTEAGA PEDRO ILDEFONSO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141601.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.65472807771096, oldest_gap=3.869826127096477, previous_gap=26.005232718259435

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,15.870283668410906,0,84.1297163315891],[0,30.17387290352362,26.304046776427143,19.23372826588706,1.230958609016772,0,23.057393445145404]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,15.870283668410906,0,84.1297163315891],[0,30.17387290352362,26.304046776427143,19.23372826588706,1.230958609016772,0,23.057393445145404]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,15.870283668410906,0,84.1297163315891],[0,30.17387290352362,26.304046776427143,19.23372826588706,1.230958609016772,0,23.057393445145404]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1119,750
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 975,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 19750,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-975",
  "name": "PUERTO LÓPEZ / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2547,
    2548,
    2549,
    2550,
    2551,
    2629,
    2773
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PUERTO LÓPEZ / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-975. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.