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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JAMA / MANABÍ — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · JAMA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-476

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JAMA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-31f9ccd927fcbf515d158409
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA40.9%
  • POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS36.3%
  • RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7212.7%
  • MANABITAMENTE6.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.0%
  • DIGNIDAD POPULAR0.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.2%
Results for event-45a14aa0d3c523b906ccc167
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · ALEX CEVALLOS MEDINA1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,16740.9%1Recorded
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS · IVAN GOMEZ1248ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,70336.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · MARIA EMILIA CEVALLOS1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,29712.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MANABITAMENTE · ROBER CASTRO1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236526.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · JORGE SABANDO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232092.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ANDREA ESCARLETT VERA VERA7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231021%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
DIGNIDAD POPULAR · NELLY QUIJANO1093ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023390.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · LUISA HERNANDEZ34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023240.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7229.1%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6526.4%
  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 1719.4%
  • ALIANZA PUEBLO JAMA - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD POPULAR - LISTAS 2 Y MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO LISTA 1715.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP3.9%
  • FUERZA.EC3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.2%
Results for event-c287b26375be33629bfbc436
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72 · ROBER CASTRO673ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,65529.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · ALEX CEVALLOS MEDINA711ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,41126.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 17 · ANGEL ROJAS815ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,77719.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PUEBLO JAMA - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD POPULAR - LISTAS 2 Y MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO LISTA 17 · SANTIAGO DOMINGUEZ701ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,41515.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · FRANCISCO DUEÑAS ROSALES235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193583.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · PABLO ROSALES RAMIREZ146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192893.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE · JACQUELINE DELGADO VELIZ41ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192182.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · JONNY VALDEZ SANCHEZ219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019150.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6534.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO32.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO24.4%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA7.3%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD0.2%
Results for event-e12b1b0d660033dd65be56fc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · ROJAS CEVALLOS ANGEL ARTURO13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,65434.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · DUEÑAS ROSALES FRANCISCO HUMBERTO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,45632.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · CEVALLOS MEDINA NEXSAR ALEX8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,85924.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · CHICA VALENCIA JOSE LUIS BARON6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145547.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · DOMINGUEZ VACA SANTIAGO EDILBERTO13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014761%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · ZAMBRANO ZAMBRANO ANARELLY EMPERATRIZ13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014180.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

81.040–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.552143627979987, oldest_gap=2.599448601811737, previous_gap=2.6701685270299826

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.0006867458059452,0,0,0,98.99931325419406],null,[0,7.273204673756072,0,24.405934094787973,0,0,68.32086123145596]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.0006867458059452,0,0,0,98.99931325419406],null,[0,7.273204673756072,0,24.405934094787973,0,0,68.32086123145596]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,1.0006867458059452,0,0,0,98.99931325419406],null,[0,7.273204673756072,0,24.405934094787973,0,0,68.32086123145596]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,882
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 476,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13882,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-476",
  "name": "JAMA / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2444,
    2614,
    2642,
    2666,
    2667,
    2712
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JAMA / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-476. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.