Office briefing
SUCRE / MANABÍ — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SUCRE / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-475
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SUCRE / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-f3b1cc670a59c64703bc5843
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA43.0%
- MANABITAMENTE33.6%
- RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7218.5%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN1.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.0%
- TODOS POR EL CORAZÓN0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.8%
- MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN)0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · CARLOS MENDOZA RODRIGUEZ | 1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 15,543 | 43% | 1 | Recorded |
| MANABITAMENTE · MANUEL GILCES | 1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 12,157 | 33.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · MARCELO HURTADO | 1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,701 | 18.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · JORGE VASCONEZ | 270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 561 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · RAMIRO RODRIGUEZ | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 365 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS POR EL CORAZÓN · JOSE ERNESTO VELIZ ZAMBRANO | 1144ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 338 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ELVIRA SALTOS RODRIGUEZ | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 293 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN) · JULIE SOLORZANO | 202ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 227 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA SI PODEMOS LISTAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO SUPERACION CIUDADANO SUCRE LISTAS 10249.3%
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6528.2%
- ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 2016.5%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA2.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.9%
- FUERZA.EC0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.9%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA SI PODEMOS LISTAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO SUPERACION CIUDADANO SUCRE LISTAS 102 · INGRID ZAMBRANO | 756ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 17,743 | 49.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · MANUEL GILCES MERO | 711ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,172 | 28.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 20 · IGNACIO MENDOZA | 819ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,928 | 16.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · GERARDO ALFONSO CHICA DELGADO | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 796 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · ANNABEL FLECHER SOLORZANO | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 309 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · LUIS ZAMBRANO ZAMBRANO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 308 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · JAIRO GARAY CHICA | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 307 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · MARIA DALIA VITERI | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 248 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · RAMIRO RODRIGUEZ CEVALLOS | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 205 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO36.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA29.5%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO19.0%
- PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513.0%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.4%
- ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · GILCES MERO MANUEL ANTONIO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 12,632 | 36% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ZAMBRANO ZAMBRANO INGRID JOHANNA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 10,345 | 29.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · RUPERTI VELEZ MARIA CRISTINA | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,658 | 19% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · BELLETTINI GARCIA GABRIEL HUMBERTO | 13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,547 | 13% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CHAVEZ VASQUEZ ENRIQUE MARIANO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 499 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · CASSIS MARTINEZ FERNANDO ISAAC | 13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 364 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI37.130–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.357468564322232, oldest_gap=6.525895277500361, previous_gap=21.02121279431364
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility2.21percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.809727787757358,0,0,0,99.19027221224263],[0,0,0,0,2.2101288316303864,0,97.7898711683696],[0,29.519189613354257,0,18.998430589242403,1.4238835782565273,0,50.05849621914681]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility48.52percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.809727787757358,0,0,0,99.19027221224263],[0,0,0,0,2.2101288316303864,0,97.7898711683696],[0,29.519189613354257,0,18.998430589242403,1.4238835782565273,0,50.05849621914681]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.36percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0.809727787757358,0,0,0,99.19027221224263],[0,0,0,0,2.2101288316303864,0,97.7898711683696],[0,29.519189613354257,0,18.998430589242403,1.4238835782565273,0,50.05849621914681]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 52,631 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 475,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 13,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 52631,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-475",
"name": "SUCRE / MANABÍ",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2460,
2516,
2626,
2627,
2643,
2658,
2659,
2660,
2661,
2662,
2663,
2664,
2665,
2707,
2786,
2825
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SUCRE / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-475. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.