Office briefing
24 DE MAYO / MANABÍ — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · 24 DE MAYO / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-460
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- 24 DE MAYO / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-dccb865ccae19e97400753fb
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA23.6%
- 1-3320.4%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA17.9%
- MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN)16.1%
- MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS7.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO5.5%
- SIEMBRA4.8%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA1.6%
- MANABITAMENTE1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · RAMON VICENTE CEDEÑO BARBERAN | 1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,578 | 23.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| 1-33 · EDGAR PONCE CANTOS | 1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,961 | 20.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · XAVIER ORTEGA BONILLA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,466 | 17.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN) · VICTOR IBARRA CEDEÑO | 202ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,123 | 16.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS · DUVAL VALERIANO | 156ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,408 | 7.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · FELIX PILAY | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,058 | 5.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SIEMBRA · ALEXANDER FIGUEROA | 1023ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 931 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ARTURO RAMON ZAVALA OCHOA | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 382 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · KARLA BRAVO | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 304 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MANABITAMENTE · CONSUELO SOTOMAYOR | 1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 186 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7232.5%
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6524.1%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS16.1%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL7.6%
- ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 176.3%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA4.2%
- MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE3.2%
- UNIDAD POPULAR2.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO1.6%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION1.4%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72 · DUVAL VALERIANO | 673ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,941 | 32.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · RAMON VICENTE CEDEÑO BARBERAN | 711ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,395 | 24.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · EDGAR PONCE CANTOS | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,940 | 16.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · ANTONIO HERMENEGILDO COELLO | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,381 | 7.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · ARTURO TOALA RODRIGUEZ | 732ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,150 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · FELIX PILAY | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 765 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE · JUAN JOSE SUAREZ RODRIGUEZ | 41ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 577 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · EDGAR MASACHE | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 447 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · MIRIAN TOALA CHOEZ | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 284 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION · MARYURY ALARCON SANCHEZ | 264ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 253 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · GABRIEL ALFONSO LOOR CORDERO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 122 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA39.5%
- PARTIDO AVANZA31.8%
- PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6524.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO2.2%
- ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA1.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CEDEÑO BARBERAN RAMON VICENTE | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,902 | 39.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · VALERIANO PONCE ELICRO DUVAL | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,566 | 31.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · TOALA RODRIGUEZ BAIRON ARTURO | 13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,319 | 24.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · SOTOMAYOR PEREZ MARIA CONSUELO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 387 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · BAQUEZEA CEDEÑO IGNACIO ALVARO | 13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 187 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · SALTOS BARBERAN CIRILO MIGUEL | 13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 126 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI73.930–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.1809042635459086, oldest_gap=7.639961113970379, previous_gap=8.468912626677621
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility4.19percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,1.567252667938341,0,0,0,0,98.43274733206164],[0,0,0,0,4.19063270336894,0,95.80936729663105],[0,31.829358952364615,0,2.2130725681935153,39.469320066334994,0,26.48824841310688]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,1.567252667938341,0,0,0,0,98.43274733206164],[0,0,0,0,4.19063270336894,0,95.80936729663105],[0,31.829358952364615,0,2.2130725681935153,39.469320066334994,0,26.48824841310688]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility36.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,1.567252667938341,0,0,0,0,98.43274733206164],[0,0,0,0,4.19063270336894,0,95.80936729663105],[0,31.829358952364615,0,2.2130725681935153,39.469320066334994,0,26.48824841310688]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 28,594 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 460,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 13,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 28594,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-460",
"name": "24 DE MAYO / MANABÍ",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2443,
2467,
2520,
2606,
2607,
2608,
2609,
2610,
2611,
2612
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “24 DE MAYO / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-460. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.