Office briefing

MANTA / MANABÍ — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MANTA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-450

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: MANTA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-2bdd5c39899c2c3779e721fc
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO MEJOR CIUDAD61.3%
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7232.5%
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.5%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN1.4%
1-331.0%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.8%
NUEVA OPORTUNIDAD0.7%
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS0.4%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.4%

Results for event-6e62c89ddb14c723c9268a59
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO MEJOR CIUDAD · AGUSTIN INTRIAGO QUIJANO	140ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	98,214	61.3%	1	Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · JAIME ESTRADA MEDRANDA	1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	52,101	32.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ROSALIN CRUZ BASURTO	117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,329	1.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · EDUARDO VELASQUEZ GARCIA	270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,305	1.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
1-33 · CARMEN REYNA	1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,571	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DAVID BERNARDO LOPEZ PAZMIÑO	157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,357	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
NUEVA OPORTUNIDAD · HARRY RIVERA	1080ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,134	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS · INES ALBAN	1248ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	677	0.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · JENNIFER PAREDES	34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	656	0.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO MEJOR CIUDAD41.7%
MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS35.4%
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 177.3%
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANTA - PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 - MOVIMIENTO CANTONAL NUEVO RUMBO LISTAS 1116.8%
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.9%
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA2.6%
UNION ECUATORIANA0.9%
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.7%
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.5%
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.4%
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.3%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION0.2%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.2%

Results for event-2ada3c67b8473691a606a073
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO MEJOR CIUDAD · AGUSTIN INTRIAGO QUIJANO	141ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	62,483	41.7%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS · JOSE DELGADO	191ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	53,005	35.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · ANA MARIA SUAREZ	732ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	10,911	7.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANTA - PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 - MOVIMIENTO CANTONAL NUEVO RUMBO LISTAS 111 · VICTOR CHIRIBOGA	729ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	10,228	6.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · TRAJANO ANDRADE	152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,344	2.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · VICTOR TRAVERSO	37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	3,852	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · JESUS TOMALA PINTO	51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	1,362	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · NATALY SALAZAR TOALA	219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	1,062	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · JOSE GARCIA	18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	795	0.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · JOSE BRIONES	170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	648	0.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · CRISTOBAL MATUTE	235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	497	0.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION · GEOVANNY RODRIGUEZ QUIMIS	264ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	370	0.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JONATHAN HIDALGO VINCES	3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	341	0.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO SUMA53.5%
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6540.2%
PARTIDO AVANZA3.4%
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD1.4%
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA0.8%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO0.7%

Results for event-102681ebfa2c03543b64d1c0
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ZAMBRANO CEDEÑO JORGE ORLEY	13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	75,746	53.5%	1	Recorded
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · ESTRADA BONILLA JAIME EDULFO	13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	56,923	40.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · ZAMBRANO SOLORZANO DE GANDO MARIA MAGDALENA	6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,861	3.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · ALVIA MENDOZA JUAN CARLOS	13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	2,016	1.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · CARDENAS ANDRADE LEONARDO	13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	1,076	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ANDRADE ARELLANO SERGIO GUSTAVO	10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	1,024	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=28.758793593773383, oldest_gap=13.288762125298277, previous_gap=6.322966283739611

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,2.569747428251211,0,97.43025257174878],[0,3.431794755940867,0,0,53.47556584725301,0,43.09263939680612]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.34percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,2.569747428251211,0,97.43025257174878],[0,3.431794755940867,0,0,53.47556584725301,0,43.09263939680612]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,2.569747428251211,0,97.43025257174878],[0,3.431794755940867,0,0,53.47556584725301,0,43.09263939680612]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

218,482

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 450,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 218482,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-450",
  "name": "MANTA / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2523,
    2524,
    2525,
    2526,
    2527,
    2528,
    2529,
    2530,
    2531,
    2532,
    2533,
    2567,
    2568,
    2569,
    2570,
    2571,
    2572,
    2573,
    2574,
    2575,
    2576,
    2577,
    2578,
    2579,
    2580,
    2581,
    2582,
    2583,
    2584,
    2585,
    2586,
    2587,
    2588,
    2589,
    2590,
    2591,
    2592,
    2593,
    2594,
    2595,
    2596,
    2620
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MANTA / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-450. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.