Office briefing
MOCACHE / LOS RÍOS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · MOCACHE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-946
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MOCACHE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-962f93c5ab47d29c2bbf4e28
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- RC5-RETO 3343.4%
- UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-2520.7%
- PARTIDO AVANZA15.0%
- POR EL MOCHACHE DEL FUTURO11.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK4.5%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.9%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC5-RETO 33 · YENNY DOMINGUEZ | 1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,801 | 43.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-25 · ZOILA BUSTAMANTE | 1501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,666 | 20.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ROBERTO DONOSO ANDRADE | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,390 | 15% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| POR EL MOCHACHE DEL FUTURO · MARIA CRISTINA HOLGUIN | 1191ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,594 | 11.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · RAUL ULLON | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,009 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MARIO SUAREZ | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 647 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · JAIME GUERRON HERNANDEZ | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 451 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO25.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA24.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ15.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO14.6%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS11.7%
- CREO - FE5.4%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.3%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.0%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · MARIA CRISTINA HOLGUIN | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,252 | 25.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · YENNY DOMINGUEZ | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,072 | 24.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · EDISON FRANCO LITARDO | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,085 | 15% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · RAUL ULLON RODRIGUEZ | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,007 | 14.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · QUINTO GANCHOZO MENDOZA | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,409 | 11.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO - FE · RUBER MORAN | 659ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,111 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · JOFFRE EGAS | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 257 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · OSCAR MALDONADO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 207 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · HOLGER UBE ANZULES | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 134 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSP-CREO-SUMA LISTAS 3-21-2334.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS31.1%
- PARTIDO AVANZA28.7%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO6.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSP-CREO-SUMA LISTAS 3-21-23 · ULLON RODRIGUEZ LEANDRO RUFINO | 12022ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,226 | 34.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · EGAS OCHOA EDISON DAVID | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,647 | 31.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · HOLGUIN GUTIERREZ MARIA CRISTINA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,224 | 28.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · EGAS AVILES JOFFRE MANUEL | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,087 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI28.80–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.76354286727547, oldest_gap=3.1841179058512985, previous_gap=0.8765949157494894
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility50.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,15.02792800780211,4.472914265449065,0,0,0,80.49915772674882],[25.577091652868415,0,0,0,0,24.700496737118925,49.722411610012664],[0,28.728552573691157,0,0,0,31.05477342718874,40.216673999120104]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility35.08percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,15.02792800780211,4.472914265449065,0,0,0,80.49915772674882],[25.577091652868415,0,0,0,0,24.700496737118925,49.722411610012664],[0,28.728552573691157,0,0,0,31.05477342718874,40.216673999120104]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.68percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,15.02792800780211,4.472914265449065,0,0,0,80.49915772674882],[25.577091652868415,0,0,0,0,24.700496737118925,49.722411610012664],[0,28.728552573691157,0,0,0,31.05477342718874,40.216673999120104]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 32,050 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 946,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 12,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 32050,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-946",
"name": "MOCACHE / LOS RÍOS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2321,
2322,
2323,
2324,
2325,
2326,
2327,
2328
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MOCACHE / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-946. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.