Office briefing
PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-750
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-901e8a029457017d409c2b22
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- RC5-RETO 3335.8%
- PARTIDO AVANZA19.9%
- POR EL PROGRESO DE PALENQUE17.9%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA9.2%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR5.7%
- UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-255.2%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)2.5%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC5-RETO 33 · JORDY CARRIEL | 1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,799 | 35.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ALBERTO ULLON | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,672 | 19.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| POR EL PROGRESO DE PALENQUE · CLOVIS ALVAREZ | 1222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,405 | 17.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ALFREDO CHANG | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,227 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · JORGE KURE YEPEZ | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 768 | 5.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-25 · ARTURO ALVAREZ DIAZ | 1501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 691 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · LUIS CASTRO | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 390 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) · PAK CHOL SON | 186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 339 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · PEDRO ALVAREZ | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 111 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - DEMOCRACIA SI17.8%
- CREO - FE16.0%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA14.9%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL11.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION10.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO10.1%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)9.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.9%
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA3.8%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - DEMOCRACIA SI · ALFREDO CHANG HI FONG | 770ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,149 | 17.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO - FE · CLOVIS ALVAREZ MOSQUERA | 659ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,937 | 16% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ALBERTO ULLON LOOR | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,803 | 14.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · PEDRO GILBERT SALDAÑA | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,356 | 11.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · JORGE KURE YEPEZ | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,303 | 10.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · FERNANDO PIMENTEL KURE | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,223 | 10.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R) · ANIBAL JARRIN ALVARADO | 151ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,105 | 9.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · CRISTOBAL IBARRA YEPEZ | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 467 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · ELVIRA VILLA | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 465 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · BYRON FABRICIO MONTOYA RENDON | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 245 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · LUIS CAROL LARA MARQUEZ | 8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 52 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA44.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.6%
- PARTIDO AVANZA15.8%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO4.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"3.5%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL1.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ULLON LOOR ALBERTO VINICIO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,791 | 44.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · BUSTAMANTE GARCIA JUAN FRANCISCO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,417 | 22.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ALVAREZ MOSQUERA CLOVIS WELLINGTON | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,692 | 15.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · CHANG HI FONG ALFREDO AMADOR | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 621 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · PIMENTEL KURE FERNANDO JACINTO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 482 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · HERRERA ULLON EPIFANIA ISABEL | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 375 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · ALVAREZ CEDENO LUIS RODOLFO | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 171 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · LARA MARQUEZ LUIS CAROL | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 154 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI38.670–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.870765557379496, oldest_gap=22.180697000840887, previous_gap=1.7513424204874006
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,19.937322787643634,2.9100134308312193,0,0,0,77.15266378152515],[10.103263114415531,0,0,0,0,14.894671623296158,75.00206526228831],[0,15.808651779874802,0,4.503410258805943,44.763150518546205,22.582453517705318,12.342333925067738]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility72.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,19.937322787643634,2.9100134308312193,0,0,0,77.15266378152515],[10.103263114415531,0,0,0,0,14.894671623296158,75.00206526228831],[0,15.808651779874802,0,4.503410258805943,44.763150518546205,22.582453517705318,12.342333925067738]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility48.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,19.937322787643634,2.9100134308312193,0,0,0,77.15266378152515],[10.103263114415531,0,0,0,0,14.894671623296158,75.00206526228831],[0,15.808651779874802,0,4.503410258805943,44.763150518546205,22.582453517705318,12.342333925067738]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 18,765 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 750,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 12,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 18765,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-750",
"name": "PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2337,
2338,
2339,
2340
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-750. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.