Office briefing
MONTALVO / LOS RÍOS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · MONTALVO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-710
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MONTALVO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-0908e45ca30b0ce40b9c6cd4
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- EL CAMBIO DE MONTALVO37.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO21.9%
- UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-2520.5%
- RC5-RETO 3311.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.1%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CRECER1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EL CAMBIO DE MONTALVO · EDUARDO TRONCOSO | 1176ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,186 | 37.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · BELEN SILVA | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,582 | 21.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-25 · MARJORIE VELEZ HIDROVO | 1501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,365 | 20.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| RC5-RETO 33 · LUCIANO MOREJON | 1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,878 | 11.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · VINSHELY GALLEGOS | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 840 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ARNOLDO WILSON ROMERO RIVERA | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 347 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CRECER · ROSA ANGELICA GALLEGOS FRANCO | 257ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 187 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO32.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO18.9%
- CREO - FE18.6%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP11.3%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.2%
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL2.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.0%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.8%
- UNIDAD POPULAR1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · OSCAR OSWALDO AGUILAR SOLIZ | 8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,993 | 32.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · EDUARDO TRONCOSO | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,938 | 18.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO - FE · JOVANNY PAZMIÑO ESPIN | 659ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,902 | 18.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · CESAR ANDRADE | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,754 | 11.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · MARTHA ELIZA ESTRADA GAROFALO | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,128 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · NESTOR PINELA | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 533 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · ELIFONSO CORTEZ MARTINEZ | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 435 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · YESENIA ZAMBRANO VERA | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 306 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · MONICA GALEAS BAÑO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 280 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · DAVID ALDAZ BOSQUEZ | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 221 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · LUIS EDUARDO GUZMAN | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 81 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"49.8%
- MONTALVO CON LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA27.5%
- PARTIDO AVANZA18.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO4.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · CORTEZ MARTINEZ ELIFONSO CLEMENTE | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,063 | 49.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MONTALVO CON LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA · AGUILAR SOLIZ OSCAR OSWALDO | 12019ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,900 | 27.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · TROYA PACHECO DIGNA AMARILIS | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,648 | 18.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · CAMACHO ESTRADA RONFIS ERNESTO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 570 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI21.370–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.892584681110772, oldest_gap=22.304491925816233, previous_gap=13.197610943420461
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.12percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[21.86145865120537,0,5.126640219713153,0,0,0,73.01190112908148],[18.868409222272174,0,0,0,0,7.244236079892107,73.88735469783573],[0,18.672872152880615,0,4.019462661307383,0,0,77.307665185812]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility26.11percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[21.86145865120537,0,5.126640219713153,0,0,0,73.01190112908148],[18.868409222272174,0,0,0,0,7.244236079892107,73.88735469783573],[0,18.672872152880615,0,4.019462661307383,0,0,77.307665185812]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.12percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[21.86145865120537,0,5.126640219713153,0,0,0,73.01190112908148],[18.868409222272174,0,0,0,0,7.244236079892107,73.88735469783573],[0,18.672872152880615,0,4.019462661307383,0,0,77.307665185812]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 23,643 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 710,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 12,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 23643,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-710",
"name": "MONTALVO / LOS RÍOS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2329,
2330,
2331,
2332,
2333,
2334,
2335,
2336
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MONTALVO / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-710. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.