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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

QUINSALOMA / LOS RÍOS — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · QUINSALOMA / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-546

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
QUINSALOMA / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-e1a3273e8b1bc97f4dd28be8
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CAMBIO POSITIVO46.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA33.6%
  • RC5-RETO 338.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN CANTONAL QUINSALOMEÑO, MICQ5.9%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-20-21-23-253.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CRECER1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.3%
Results for event-6e9061a6ffb9832d8c6f1cd1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAMBIO POSITIVO · CRISTHIAN ALDAZ1024ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,81146.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · EMILIO VERA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,49333.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RC5-RETO 33 · MARCELA AREVALO GAVILANEZ1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238298%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN CANTONAL QUINSALOMEÑO, MICQ · MAGALI ANDRADE66ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236165.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-20-21-23-25 · CRISTINA MANCERO RIVERA1499ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233203.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CRECER · JAVIER WONG257ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231981.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MARCELO HOLGUIN VALENCIA7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231341.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CREO - FE29.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO28.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN CANTONAL QUINSALOMEÑO, MICQ21.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ12.8%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA7.4%
Results for event-77ad49b29da6ab63111b0291
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CREO - FE · FREDDY BUENAÑO659ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,75129.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · CRISTHIAN ALDAZ1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,60628.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN CANTONAL QUINSALOMEÑO, MICQ · DARWIN MACIAS112ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,99621.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · MARIA MARTINEZ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,17412.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · EMILIO VERA TORRES25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196797.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS30.9%
  • PSP-CREO-SUMA LISTAS 3-21-2327.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO23.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA10.7%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO5.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.5%
Results for event-924013a28f9ed2a71afd8b95
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · MANOBANDA MUÑOZ PASCUAL BRAULIO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,10230.9%1Recorded
PSP-CREO-SUMA LISTAS 3-21-23 · BUENAÑO MURILLO FREDDY FERNANDO12022ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,86527.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ALDAZ GONZALEZ CRISTHIAN DANILO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,61423.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · URIBE ESTRADA LUIS ALBINO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201473010.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · ALARCON ALARCON NARCIZA DE JESUS1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143955.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · BASANTES CARDENAS NESTOR EDUARDO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141011.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.671858475146621, oldest_gap=3.4817100044072298, previous_gap=1.5750597436454505

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,33.583309297182964,1.2883376598404,0,0,0,65.12835304297664],[28.30762546165544,0,0,0,0,0,71.69237453834455],[1.4837667107389452,10.724254443954752,0,0,0,30.87997649478478,56.91200235052152]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,33.583309297182964,1.2883376598404,0,0,0,65.12835304297664],[28.30762546165544,0,0,0,0,0,71.69237453834455],[1.4837667107389452,10.724254443954752,0,0,0,30.87997649478478,56.91200235052152]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,33.583309297182964,1.2883376598404,0,0,0,65.12835304297664],[28.30762546165544,0,0,0,0,0,71.69237453834455],[1.4837667107389452,10.724254443954752,0,0,0,30.87997649478478,56.91200235052152]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,912
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 546,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13912,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-546",
  "name": "QUINSALOMA / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2379,
    2380,
    2381
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “QUINSALOMA / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-546. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.