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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VENTANAS / LOS RÍOS — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · VENTANAS / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-545

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VENTANAS / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-02b211b0d6c9269983b5753c
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RC5-RETO 3341.6%
  • VENTANAS CRECE CON EL EQUIPAZO27.8%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-2514.4%
  • RENACE LA ESPERANZA PARA LOS HUMILDES14.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.0%
Results for event-4333a9a7418458f75c949142
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RC5-RETO 33 · CARLOS CARRIEL1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202318,25541.6%1Recorded
VENTANAS CRECE CON EL EQUIPAZO · JIMMY CORDOVA LOOR1213ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312,20927.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-25 · RAFAEL SANCHEZ OCHOA1501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,32614.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RENACE LA ESPERANZA PARA LOS HUMILDES · MANUEL VERA ANDRADE1192ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,19814.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ANGERLING VELEZ7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238722%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO37.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ25.1%
  • CREO - FE15.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA14.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL4.9%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)0.6%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR0.5%
Results for event-d370d0f79dbd3cd75ebb86e9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · RAFAEL SANCHEZ OCHOA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,86537.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · CARLOS AGAPITO CARRIEL ABAD198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,60425.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO - FE · MANUEL VERA659ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,39015.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · CONNIE JIMENEZ ROMERO13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,95614.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · MILTON OLIVER LOPEZ MENA148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0774.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · TEOFILO MOSCOL158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195891.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · RUTH GEOCONDA BARZOLA TAPIA145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192650.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R) · LEANDRO VALERO PEÑAFIEL151ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192540.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · ELADIO RODRIGUEZ MONTES143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192070.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA20.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA7.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO3.5%
  • LA ESPERANZA DE UN PUEBLO LISTAS 3-7-102.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.0%
Results for event-e7d3f03b9c3dd60fa93730b6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · URRUTIA ESPINOZA PATRICIO JAVIER3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,25140.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · CARRIEL ABAD CARLOS AGAPITO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,38225%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · VERA ANDRADE MANUEL RAFAEL13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,56220.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · MUÑOZ PILCO JORGE WASHINGTON6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,8957.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · SISA PEREIRA JULIO CESAR10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,3163.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LA ESPERANZA DE UN PUEBLO LISTAS 3-7-10 · MOSCOL CONTRERAS TEOFILO AGUSTIN12023ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148302.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · VALDIVIEZO VERA ANA DEL ROSARIO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143611%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

32.140–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.784769721842224, oldest_gap=15.610288054898, previous_gap=12.464757030824266

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.9881440948472413,0,0,0,98.01185590515276],[37.58855166204658,0,0,0,0,14.111403321723884,48.30004501622954],[0,7.700082453387238,0,24.95411867968189,20.113306912785596,40.56440673457989,6.668085219565391]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

79.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.9881440948472413,0,0,0,98.01185590515276],[37.58855166204658,0,0,0,0,14.111403321723884,48.30004501622954],[0,7.700082453387238,0,24.95411867968189,20.113306912785596,40.56440673457989,6.668085219565391]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,1.9881440948472413,0,0,0,98.01185590515276],[37.58855166204658,0,0,0,0,14.111403321723884,48.30004501622954],[0,7.700082453387238,0,24.95411867968189,20.113306912785596,40.56440673457989,6.668085219565391]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1160,250
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 545,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 60250,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-545",
  "name": "VENTANAS / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2404,
    2405,
    2406,
    2407,
    2408,
    2409,
    2410,
    2411,
    2412,
    2413,
    2414,
    2415,
    2416,
    2417,
    2418,
    2419,
    2420,
    2421,
    2422
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VENTANAS / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-545. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.