Office briefing
PUEBLO VIEJO / LOS RÍOS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · PUEBLO VIEJO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · MayorEC-M-12-530
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- PUEBLO VIEJO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-b8b1009caec70c609e9bedd8
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- RC5-RETO 3335.8%
- SOLUCION Y PROGRESO32.9%
- UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-21-2524.0%
- PACHA-CRECER4.2%
- SOMOS AGUA2.2%
- PARTIDO AVANZA0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC5-RETO 33 · ELSY OSPINA | 1324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,730 | 35.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| SOLUCION Y PROGRESO · EDUARDO LAYEDRA | 1116ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,015 | 32.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-21-25 · MARCOS GONZALEZ NAVARRO | 1498ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,844 | 24% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PACHA-CRECER · PABLO FAJARDO | 1376ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,025 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SOMOS AGUA · JIMMY BARZOLA | 1036ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 540 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ROSSMARY GUILLEN | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 227 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES30.3%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA17.9%
- UNIDAD POPULAR17.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO15.7%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS7.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ6.2%
- FUERZA.EC2.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MARCOS GONZALEZ NAVARRO | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,117 | 30.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ELSY JODAMIA OSPINA GARCES | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,205 | 17.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · EDUARDO LAYEDRA | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,047 | 17.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · JHON LOJA | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,675 | 15.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · CARLOS ARBOLEDA MAQUILON | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,812 | 7.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · GEOVANI AZANZA ROMERO | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,451 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · AGUSTIN GALECIO BACILIO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 688 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · URBANO PERFECTO PLAZA SALCEDO | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 474 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS39.2%
- PARTIDO AVANZA33.6%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO14.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO10.2%
- UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO1.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ORTEGA BARZOLA CARLOS ENRIQUE | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,896 | 39.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · JARA CEREZO CESAR AMABLE | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,775 | 33.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · LAYEDRA BUSTAMANTE AGUSTIN EDUARDO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,850 | 14.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · GONZALEZ NAVARRO MARCOS LUIS | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,052 | 10.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · CEPEDA BARCO MERCY MARIA | 12012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 335 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · GUEDES NICOLA RICHARD STALIN | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 256 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI69.810–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.932611459743242, oldest_gap=5.559412814917678, previous_gap=12.407857173292431
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.9310528690373652,0,0,0,0,99.06894713096263],[15.658954365332992,0,0,30.325109719204058,0,17.917252545911627,36.098683369551324],[0,33.59948422931958,0,10.176552271374728,0,39.15889704423726,17.06506645506844]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.9310528690373652,0,0,0,0,99.06894713096263],[15.658954365332992,0,0,30.325109719204058,0,17.917252545911627,36.098683369551324],[0,33.59948422931958,0,10.176552271374728,0,39.15889704423726,17.06506645506844]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.37percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.9310528690373652,0,0,0,0,99.06894713096263],[15.658954365332992,0,0,30.325109719204058,0,17.917252545911627,36.098683369551324],[0,33.59948422931958,0,10.176552271374728,0,39.15889704423726,17.06506645506844]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 34,087 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 530,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 12,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 34087,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-12-530",
"name": "PUEBLO VIEJO / LOS RÍOS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2341,
2342,
2343,
2344,
2345,
2346,
2347,
2348
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “PUEBLO VIEJO / LOS RÍOS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-12-530. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.