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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

QUILANGA / LOJA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · QUILANGA / LOJA / LOJA · municipal · MayorEC-M-11-740

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
QUILANGA / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-f5013b8908146dc1899a5522
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMINTO POLÍTICO QUILANGUENSE42.5%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO35.3%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA21.9%
  • EL RETO ES LOJA0.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE0.1%
Results for event-50f42fc7ef5cfe2185acd78e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMINTO POLÍTICO QUILANGUENSE · JUAN CARLOS SANTIN CALVA177ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,48342.5%1Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO · LILO CALVA1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,23335.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA · FREDY MALVIN CUEVA ROJAS1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202376421.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EL RETO ES LOJA · NAYELY OJEDA1074ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202380.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE · JOHANNA BETANCOURT OJEDA33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA40.4%
  • PROGRESO Y DESARROLLO DE LOS PUEBLOS LISTAS 73-10934.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA7.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO5.3%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA3.8%
Results for event-cbda05ee33672c7bcbd655a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · MALVIN FREDY CUEVA ROJAS652ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,34340.4%1Recorded
PROGRESO Y DESARROLLO DE LOS PUEBLOS LISTAS 73-109 · JUAN CARLOS SANTIN543ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,15734.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · JUAN CEVALLOS13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192748.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JORGE ORTEGA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192527.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · EDWAR ROJAS LUNA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191775.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · CARMEN YAGUANA JARAMILLO152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191253.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA37.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA35.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS23.4%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO4.1%
Results for event-554059ae40533836c4302dc6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA · JARAMILLO ALVERCA FRANCISCO NEPTALI11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,16637.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · CUEVA ROJAS MALVIN FREDY6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,10635.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · SAMANIEGO CUEVA JOHN OSWALDO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201473423.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · TORRES MARIN TOBIAS NEPTALI11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141304.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

69.180–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.161271841879113, oldest_gap=1.9132653061224474, previous_gap=5.588942307692307

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[5.318509615384615,0,0,0,7.572115384615385,8.233173076923077,78.87620192307692],[0,35.267857142857146,0,0,0,23.40561224489796,41.3265306122449]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[5.318509615384615,0,0,0,7.572115384615385,8.233173076923077,78.87620192307692],[0,35.267857142857146,0,0,0,23.40561224489796,41.3265306122449]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[5.318509615384615,0,0,0,7.572115384615385,8.233173076923077,78.87620192307692],[0,35.267857142857146,0,0,0,23.40561224489796,41.3265306122449]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-114,276
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 740,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 4276,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-11-740",
  "name": "QUILANGA / LOJA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2236,
    2237,
    2238
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “QUILANGA / LOJA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-11-740. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.