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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SOZORANGA / LOJA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SOZORANGA / LOJA / LOJA · municipal · MayorEC-M-11-345

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SOZORANGA / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-86f7dd7ba625b9cd80246a81
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE38.3%
  • EL RETO ES LOJA23.3%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO21.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER16.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA0.5%
  • POR LOJA0.3%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA0.3%
Results for event-9f6f4f4256f9180d8cab5e5d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE · ORLI RENAN FLORES GUERRERO33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,58838.3%1Recorded
EL RETO ES LOJA · EULER FLORES1074ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202396523.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO · LUCIANO IÑAHUAZO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202387521.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER · GORKI ESPINOZA127ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202367616.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · OMAYRA YAKELINE PINZON QUEZADA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023190.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR LOJA · JOSEFINA MARISOL CORREA SOTO1244ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023130.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA · LEIDY MAGALI CARRILLO MASACHE1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023110.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA56.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA25.5%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA18.3%
Results for event-75ad667781ff131473042fd4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · ROMEO MORENO652ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,23156.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · SEGUNDO MASACHE NARVAEZ37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,01525.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · FAUSTO OCHOA MONTALVAN152ecuador/Sed7b513864/201972918.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO58.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD5.4%
Results for event-d11e35847ae8b6157b05c7bb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · GUERRERO LAPO FREDI ENRIQUE11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,40058.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · FLORES GUERRERO ORLI RENAN3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,48236.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD · SOTOMAYOR MENA LUIS BRANLY11001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142235.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.022908126356398, oldest_gap=22.362971985383673, previous_gap=30.591194968553463

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,25.534591194968552,0,74.46540880503144],[0,0,0,0,0,36.10231425091352,63.89768574908648]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,25.534591194968552,0,74.46540880503144],[0,0,0,0,0,36.10231425091352,63.89768574908648]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,25.534591194968552,0,74.46540880503144],[0,0,0,0,0,36.10231425091352,63.89768574908648]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-115,778
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 345,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 5778,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-11-345",
  "name": "SOZORANGA / LOJA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2150,
    2181,
    2182,
    2193,
    2229,
    2230,
    2231
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SOZORANGA / LOJA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-11-345. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.