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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUYANGO / LOJA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PUYANGO / LOJA / LOJA · municipal · MayorEC-M-11-330

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUYANGO / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-9aa0248cb54dd8bee573304a
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO46.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA40.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO6.8%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA5.1%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO0.9%
  • POR LOJA0.6%
Results for event-dad47b276b5abe9fbdbf4fef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · IGNACIO VIVAR JARA124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,22846.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JOSE HERNAN ENCALADA ELIZALDE207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,56740.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · VICTOR EDUARDO GRANDA TORRES39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237666.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA · KARINA AÑAZCO CAMPOVERDE1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235715.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO · RENE GRANDA1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023990.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR LOJA · MAYRA ELIZABETH BUSTAMANTE1244ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023630.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA42.7%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA33.2%
  • ALIANZA PUYANGO UNIDOS24.1%
Results for event-de8b18ab13ec7bc8f15f5280
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · HERNAN ENCALADA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,69042.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · MARCELO APOLO652ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,65133.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PUYANGO UNIDOS · VICTOR HUGO TINOCO717ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,64324.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PUEBLO CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO44.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS31.3%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO19.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO4.5%
Results for event-2376c70d322d94a771e9d175
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PUEBLO CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO · GRANDA SANCHEZ CARLOS PATRICIO11004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,58844.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · TINOCO MONTAÑO VICTOR HUGO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,21131.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · APOLO GRANDA ORLANDO MARCELO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,99619.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · GRANDA DAVILA JOHNSON ERROLL10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144604.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

61.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.852665131928461, oldest_gap=13.427596294490492, previous_gap=9.459213401310997

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,42.69847050254916,57.301529497450844],[0,0,0,0,0,31.311555338859094,68.6884446611409]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,42.69847050254916,57.301529497450844],[0,0,0,0,0,31.311555338859094,68.6884446611409]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,42.69847050254916,57.301529497450844],[0,0,0,0,0,31.311555338859094,68.6884446611409]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1114,942
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 330,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 14942,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-11-330",
  "name": "PUYANGO / LOJA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2075,
    2076,
    2077,
    2078,
    2079,
    2080,
    2081,
    2122,
    2180,
    2189
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PUYANGO / LOJA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-11-330. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.