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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LOJA / LOJA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LOJA / LOJA / LOJA · municipal · MayorEC-M-11-300

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LOJA / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ad584fd75cc7eb76ffe1b4c7
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER29.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE15.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN DEMOCRÁTICA15.1%
  • POR LOJA12.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO6.5%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA6.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA4.0%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO3.1%
  • EL RETO ES LOJA2.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO PROGRESA0.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID0.3%
Results for event-fa8f83dade85688595460249
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER · FRANCO QUEZADA127ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202342,12529.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE · JOSE BOLIVAR CASTILLO VIVANCO33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202321,89515.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN DEMOCRÁTICA · PATRICIO VALDIVIESO114ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202321,77015.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR LOJA · CESAR AUGUSTO GUERRERO CUEVA1244ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202318,58312.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · JORGE VICENTE REYES JARAMILLO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,3186.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA · NIXON GRANDA1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,9406.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JUAN CARLOS TORRES207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,7144%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO · CARLOS ESCUDERO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,5333.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EL RETO ES LOJA · PAUL CUEVA1074ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,4602.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · FREDY OSWALDO ALTAMIRANO ARIAS39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,3881.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · BRYAN CANGO PICOITA157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,2791.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · VANESSA VINCES117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0970.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PROGRESA · FERNANDO AYALA161ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239010.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · JONATHAN CALVA34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235580.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · LIGIA RODRIGUEZ222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234800.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS31.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ18.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION REGIONAL DE EQUIDAD, ARE12.8%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA10.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACION DEMOCRATICA9.1%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO8.9%
  • ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA0.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.7%
Results for event-60207cc194e0658a49e512a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS · JORGE BAILON566ecuador/Sed7b513864/201946,22431.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · FRANCO QUEZADA198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201926,49618.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION REGIONAL DE EQUIDAD, ARE · JOSE BOLIVAR CASTILLO VIVANCO2ecuador/Sed7b513864/201918,49112.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · NIVEA VELEZ652ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,73510.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACION DEMOCRATICA · PATRICIO VALDIVIESO ESPINOSA177ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,1969.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO · JAIME VILLAVICENCIO FREIRE635ecuador/Sed7b513864/201912,8608.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES · CLAUDIO EGUIGUREN762ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,3906.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA · RODRIGO VIVAR BERMEO23ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3480.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · RAUL MIRANDA3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0480.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD30.3%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO26.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA21.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS12.8%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS6.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.0%
Results for event-92312d2efeb169305cc1baed
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD · CASTILLO VIVANCO JOSE BOLIVAR11001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201440,58430.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · VILLAVICENCIO FREIRE JAIME FABIAN11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201436,12326.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA · BAILON ABAD JORGE ARTURO11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428,77021.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · TORRES PAZ MARCELO VINICIO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201417,13612.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS · ARROBO RODRIGUEZ PAULO CESAR11017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,8396.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ALTAMIRANO ARIAS FREDY OSWALDO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,6562%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

35.760–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.044612297887408, oldest_gap=3.3264234795836174, previous_gap=13.62543857225737

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,0,12.777761207385092,87.2222387926149]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,0,12.777761207385092,87.2222387926149]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,0,12.777761207385092,87.2222387926149]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11196,940
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 300,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 196940,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-11-300",
  "name": "LOJA / LOJA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2067,
    2104,
    2124,
    2125,
    2126,
    2127,
    2128,
    2129,
    2130,
    2131,
    2132,
    2133,
    2134,
    2135,
    2136,
    2137,
    2138,
    2139,
    2140,
    2141,
    2142,
    2143,
    2144,
    2145,
    2149,
    2172,
    2173,
    2174,
    2175,
    2187,
    2201,
    2202,
    2203,
    2204,
    2205,
    2206,
    2207,
    2208,
    2209,
    2210,
    2211,
    2212,
    2213,
    2214,
    2215,
    2216,
    2218,
    2243,
    2244,
    2245,
    2246,
    2247,
    2248,
    2249,
    2250,
    2251
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LOJA / LOJA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-11-300. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.