Office briefing
ANTONIO ANTE / IMBABURA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · ANTONIO ANTE / IMBABURA / IMBABURA · municipal · MayorEC-M-10-45
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ANTONIO ANTE / IMBABURA / IMBABURA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5cb9682cd077c24a392d4d2b
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- IMBABURA DEL FUTURO24.4%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES22.1%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA21.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA20.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.6%
- CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO0.7%
- JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMBABURA DEL FUTURO · CESAR ESCOBAR | 1039ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 7,316 | 24.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · ROLANDO LOPEZ | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,639 | 22.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · CARLOS ESPINOSA | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,535 | 21.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · PAULINA CADENA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,260 | 20.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ROBERTO CARLOS YAMBERLA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,890 | 9.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · MARTHA POSSO | 1482ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 197 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · LILIA AMPARO PASPUEL | 1374ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 143 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL30.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD26.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ13.7%
- ALIANZA POR TÍ ANTONIO ANTE11.2%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO 2-9-126.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ANTEÑO DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ETICA POLITICA MATE5.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.5%
- ALIANZA JUNTOS POR ANTONIO ANTE1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · ROLANDO LOPEZ | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,678 | 30.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD · RICHARD CALDERON | 181ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,608 | 26.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · XIMENA VILLEGAS | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,935 | 13.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR TÍ ANTONIO ANTE · FABIAN EFREN POSSO PADILLA | 539ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,213 | 11.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO 2-9-12 · ARTURO FLORES | 536ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,993 | 6.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ANTEÑO DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ETICA POLITICA MATE · ANGEL MARIA BOLAÑOS ORBE | 187ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,434 | 5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · JUAN CIFUENTES | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 757 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · TITO CAYETANO MORAN | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 732 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA JUNTOS POR ANTONIO ANTE · EDWIN GRIJALVA MICHILENA | 768ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 368 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO AVANZA49.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.9%
- FUERZA ANTEÑA PARA EL CAMBIO 15-187.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO5.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO AVANZA · POSSO PADILLA FABIAN EFREN | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 12,894 | 49.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · POSSO ANDRADE OSWALDO RAMIRO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 9,823 | 37.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA ANTEÑA PARA EL CAMBIO 15-18 · POSSO JATIVA WASHINGTON RODRIGO | 10006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,866 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · AGUIRRE NARVAEZ DORIS JANETH | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,308 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI81.710–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.258172114743161, oldest_gap=11.861264532076781, previous_gap=3.7258862037746354
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.64percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.639759839893262,0,0,0,90.36024016010674],[2.635977435754579,0,0,2.548924019778536,0,0,94.81509854446689],[0,49.801089181568884,0,5.051948553551427,0,37.9398246494921,7.207137615387587]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility90.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.639759839893262,0,0,0,90.36024016010674],[2.635977435754579,0,0,2.548924019778536,0,0,94.81509854446689],[0,49.801089181568884,0,5.051948553551427,0,37.9398246494921,7.207137615387587]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49.94percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,9.639759839893262,0,0,0,90.36024016010674],[2.635977435754579,0,0,2.548924019778536,0,0,94.81509854446689],[0,49.801089181568884,0,5.051948553551427,0,37.9398246494921,7.207137615387587]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 42,899 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 45,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 10,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 42899,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-10-45",
"name": "ANTONIO ANTE / IMBABURA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2001,
2002,
2003,
2004,
2005,
2006,
2007,
2008,
2009
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ANTONIO ANTE / IMBABURA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-10-45. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.