Office briefing
COTACACHI / IMBABURA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · COTACACHI / IMBABURA / IMBABURA · municipal · MayorEC-M-10-40
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- COTACACHI / IMBABURA / IMBABURA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-036fae3cecab8968bf75c4c5
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- EL VIVIR BIEN AVANZA34.6%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA20.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO20.3%
- MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD16.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK8.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EL VIVIR BIEN AVANZA · JOMAR CEVALLOS | 1011ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 10,542 | 34.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · PETER UBIDIA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,258 | 20.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · PAUL RODAS AVILA | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,169 | 20.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD · AUKI TITUAÑA | 228ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,865 | 16% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · KATERINE ANDRADE ANDRADE | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,598 | 8.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION37.3%
- ALIANZA EL VIVIR BIEN AVANZA EN COTACACHI33.7%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL19.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES8.3%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · AUKI TITUAÑA | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,514 | 37.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA EL VIVIR BIEN AVANZA EN COTACACHI · JOMAR CEVALLOS | 535ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 9,517 | 33.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · PEDRO DE LA CRUZ | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,394 | 19.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JOSE ANDRADE | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,338 | 8.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · SIXTO ELIAS CHAVEZ POSO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 450 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- VIVIR BIEN - ALLY KAWSAY - AVANZA50.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.3%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK8.3%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO4.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIVIR BIEN - ALLY KAWSAY - AVANZA · CEVALLOS MORENO JOMAR JOSE EFREN | 10008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,873 | 50.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ANRANGO BONILLA LUIS ALBERTO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 8,769 | 37.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SARZOSA NAVARRO LUIS FERNANDO | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,946 | 8.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · GOMEZ MORALES NORA MONSERRATT | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 949 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI45.870–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.077287066246058, oldest_gap=13.187746951608105, previous_gap=3.5338319214546488
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,8.537066246056783,0,0,0,91.4629337539432],[0,0,0,8.28695991209726,0,0,91.71304008790274],[0,0,8.26783362365637,4.031949696222968,0,37.25623486425628,50.44398181586438]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45.52percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,8.537066246056783,0,0,0,91.4629337539432],[0,0,0,8.28695991209726,0,0,91.71304008790274],[0,0,8.26783362365637,4.031949696222968,0,37.25623486425628,50.44398181586438]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility27.03percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,8.537066246056783,0,0,0,91.4629337539432],[0,0,0,8.28695991209726,0,0,91.71304008790274],[0,0,8.26783362365637,4.031949696222968,0,37.25623486425628,50.44398181586438]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 44,239 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 40,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 10,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 44239,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-10-40",
"name": "COTACACHI / IMBABURA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1946,
1952,
1957,
1958,
1959,
1965,
1966,
1967,
1988,
1989,
1990,
1991,
1992,
1993,
1994,
1995,
1996,
1997,
1998,
1999,
2000,
2043,
2044,
2045
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “COTACACHI / IMBABURA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-10-40. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.