Office briefing
OTAVALO / IMBABURA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · OTAVALO / IMBABURA / IMBABURA · municipal · MayorEC-M-10-35
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- OTAVALO / IMBABURA / IMBABURA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-6af72c0ffddf6c456bee0910
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA21.4%
- MUÉVETE IMBABURA17.6%
- PARTIDO AVANZA17.0%
- JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO13.4%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO8.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA7.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD3.5%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID3.4%
- JUNTOS POR OTAVALO2.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · ANABEL HERMOSA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 14,871 | 21.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| MUÉVETE IMBABURA · GABRIELA JARAMILLO | 1077ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 12,242 | 17.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · LOURDES ALTA LIMA | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 11,865 | 17% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · NELSON ENRIQUE VELASQUEZ MALES | 1374ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,322 | 13.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · EFRAIN AMAGUAÑA | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,772 | 8.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · ALVARO VARELA | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,234 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · AMADEO CASCO COLTA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,891 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD · NANCY IZA SIMBA | 228ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,412 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · ANDRES PAVON | 222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,391 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR OTAVALO · RAFAEL ANRANGO TITUAÑA | 1472ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,629 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD36.8%
- ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAVALO16.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.3%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO COMPROMISO9.0%
- MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES6.0%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.9%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL4.5%
- ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA 35 MINGA LISTA 1043.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA2.9%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR OTAVALO2.7%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.8%
- ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD · MARIO CONEJO | 181ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 23,890 | 36.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAVALO · MARIA GABRIELA JARAMILLO | 621ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,892 | 16.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MANUEL DIAZ CAJAS | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,674 | 10.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO COMPROMISO · IVAN ENDARA | 216ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,817 | 9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES · JOSE YAMBERLA DE LA TORRE | 190ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,881 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MARIO CARRILLO | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,188 | 4.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · ANDRES PAVON MESA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,906 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA 35 MINGA LISTA 104 · ANIBAL FERNANDO BONILLA | 773ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,227 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · NELSON VELASQUEZ | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,893 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR OTAVALO · MARCO TORRES OÑA | 650ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,736 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · JULIAN MUENALA TITUAÑA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,089 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · CHRISTIAN GARZON | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 532 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · MARCELO MENDEZ ALBORNOZ | 509ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 256 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- AVANZA - FUERZA CIUDADANA LISTAS 8 - 6147.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS33.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO4.4%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO2.9%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVANZA - FUERZA CIUDADANA LISTAS 8 - 61 · PAREJA CISNEROS GUSTAVO EDISON | 10007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 29,333 | 47.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · CONEJO MALDONADO MARIO HERNAN | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 20,863 | 33.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CACHIMUEL GUALAPURO JOSE RODRIGO | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,116 | 9.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · GALARZA BASTIDAS CARLOS RAMIRO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,720 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · CHALAMPUENTE MAIGUA FERNANDO ALFONSO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,815 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · VILLARREAL TOBAR ERNESTO FABIAN | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 733 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI51.790–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.77572563156156, oldest_gap=13.75446573562845, previous_gap=20.002770040473372
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,17.040313662410778,5.588188829367074,0,0,0,77.37149750822215],[0,0,10.270694510703128,4.906049460611563,2.9131592311598773,0,81.91009679752543],[0,0,9.93179603767457,2.947385514777525,0,33.87950633322507,53.24131211432283]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility33.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,17.040313662410778,5.588188829367074,0,0,0,77.37149750822215],[0,0,10.270694510703128,4.906049460611563,2.9131592311598773,0,81.91009679752543],[0,0,9.93179603767457,2.947385514777525,0,33.87950633322507,53.24131211432283]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.46percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,17.040313662410778,5.588188829367074,0,0,0,77.37149750822215],[0,0,10.270694510703128,4.906049460611563,2.9131592311598773,0,81.91009679752543],[0,0,9.93179603767457,2.947385514777525,0,33.87950633322507,53.24131211432283]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 104,496 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 35,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 10,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 104496,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-10-35",
"name": "OTAVALO / IMBABURA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1947,
1980,
1981,
1982,
1983,
1984,
1985,
1986,
2031,
2032,
2033,
2034,
2035,
2036,
2037,
2038,
2039,
2040,
2041,
2042,
2054,
2055,
2056,
2058,
2059,
2060,
2061,
2062,
2063,
2064,
2065
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “OTAVALO / IMBABURA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-10-35. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.