Office briefing
SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-955
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY / AZUAY
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-1f3388aea1e6ab23880c549f
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO33.0%
- HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO24.9%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA16.2%
- SI SE PUEDE9.7%
- AZUAY LIBRE8.7%
- UNA NUEVA GENERACION QUE AVANZA6.2%
- AZUAY PRIMERO1.0%
- AZUAY YA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · BYRON RUBIO | 1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,283 | 33% | 1 | Recorded |
| HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO · WALTER FABIAN LOPEZ | 1359ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 969 | 24.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · BOLIVAR OCTAVIO TAPIA DIAZ | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 628 | 16.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SI SE PUEDE · FRANKLIN CALLE | 1494ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 378 | 9.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUAY LIBRE · SILVANA RIVAS | 1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 337 | 8.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNA NUEVA GENERACION QUE AVANZA · CLARA PATRICIA JARA MOROCHO | 1229ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 242 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUAY PRIMERO · JULIA HOYOS | 1063ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 38 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUAY YA · OLGA NOEMI CARDENAS LOPEZ | 1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS37.0%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA21.9%
- ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO15.2%
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA14.8%
- ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO11.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS · ROLANDO CALLE | 748ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,548 | 37% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · HECTOR TAPIA | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 918 | 21.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · VICTOR MALDONADO VALVERDE | 560ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 638 | 15.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ABELARDO LUCERO | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 620 | 14.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO · AURELIO RUBIO | 556ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 460 | 11% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8245.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS28.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA26.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · RUBIO FAJARDO VICTOR AURELIO | 1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,707 | 45.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · TAPIA DIAZ BOLIVAR OCTAVIO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,049 | 28% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · CARDENAS TAPIA LUIS ABRAHAM | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 991 | 26.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI44.380–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.084449021627186, oldest_gap=17.560715238857753, previous_gap=15.057361376673043
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,21.940726577437857,78.05927342256214],[0,26.447824926607954,0,0,0,27.99572991726715,45.5564451561249]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility32.5percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,21.940726577437857,78.05927342256214],[0,26.447824926607954,0,0,0,27.99572991726715,45.5564451561249]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,21.940726577437857,78.05927342256214],[0,26.447824926607954,0,0,0,27.99572991726715,45.5564451561249]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 4,904 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 955,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 1,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 4904,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-955",
"name": "SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
257,
258,
259,
260,
261,
262,
263,
264
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-955. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.