Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHORDELEG / AZUAY — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHORDELEG / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-915

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHORDELEG / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-9b627062c22d156ba0acbf19
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • AZUAY LIBRE46.4%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR22.7%
  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO18.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO12.8%
Results for event-b7c35fe4aebe55a70e1cf97b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AZUAY LIBRE · DEIFILIO AREVALO1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,38246.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · MALENA IÑIGUEZ231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,65822.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · PATRICIO LOPEZ1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,32518.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · JUAN LOPEZ TACURI39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202393112.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD POPULAR50.3%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO26.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO13.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA DEMOCRATICA6.3%
  • ALIANZA NUEVO CHORDELEG3.8%
Results for event-fca92ef4813edcb13c2de80d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD POPULAR · DEIFILIO AREVALO143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,08450.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · PATRICIO LOPEZ560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,11926.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · JORGE COELLO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,08913.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA DEMOCRATICA · FLAVIO ENRIQUE BARROS REINOSO154ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195156.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA NUEVO CHORDELEG · JORGE GUAICHA RIVERA678ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193063.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO35.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS16.4%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA14.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO11.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO YO SOY ECUATORIANO10.7%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8210.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"1.3%
Results for event-107f6c070c1baa3862457add
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · COELLO GONZALEZ JORGE ESTUARDO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,45035.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · LOPEZ CORONEL MAURO PATRICIO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,13216.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · BARROS REINOSO FLAVIO ENRIQUE6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201496714%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · PERALTA CORONEL CESAR ANTONIO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201480911.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO YO SOY ECUATORIANO · MURILLO VERA WILLIAMS MOSHE1004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201474210.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · ORELLANA CASTRO PEDRO ARMANDO1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201471010.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · VASQUEZ AGUIRRE CARLOS HUMBERTO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014931.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.629385964912277, oldest_gap=19.09314790670723, previous_gap=24.22038703315666

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,14.008402143995365,0,0,0,16.398667246124873,69.59293060987976]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,14.008402143995365,0,0,0,16.398667246124873,69.59293060987976]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,14.008402143995365,0,0,0,16.398667246124873,69.59293060987976]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-119,829
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 915,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 9829,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-915",
  "name": "CHORDELEG / AZUAY",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    19,
    20,
    21,
    22,
    23,
    24
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHORDELEG / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-915. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.