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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SIGSIG / AZUAY — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SIGSIG / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-280

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SIGSIG / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-207043666b2e2cb7880bc649
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UN NUEVO SIGSIG ES POSIBLE36.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA35.5%
  • AZUAY YA12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN6.6%
  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO6.1%
  • AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR EL SIGSIG2.9%
Results for event-e30d828224402957e7a17e89
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UN NUEVO SIGSIG ES POSIBLE · DAVID DUCHITANGA1486ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,49936.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · MARIO SANCHEZ PLASENCIA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,34135.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY YA · MARCELINO GRANDA GRANDA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,85512.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · PABLO UYAGUARI QUEZADA215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239946.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · ADRIAN LITUMA1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239256.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR EL SIGSIG · ANGEL LOJA1307ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234292.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA36.0%
  • ALIANZA SIGSIG PARTICIPA EN UNIDAD PODEMOS26.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL20.8%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA6.9%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO6.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO3.2%
Results for event-c7eaeff4b0dee2eb1862777d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · PABLO ALCIBAR UYAGUARI QUEZADA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,08636%1Recorded
ALIANZA SIGSIG PARTICIPA EN UNIDAD PODEMOS · MARCELINO GRANDA558ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,45626.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · FRANKLIN ZHIMINAICELA148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,50720.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ARTURO FAJARDO152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1606.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · LAURO ENRIQUE ZHIMNAY PULLA560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1446.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · JANETH PEREZ1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195323.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • SIGSIG PARTCIPA - MPD LISTAS 62 - 1559.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS19.5%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA15.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"5.3%
Results for event-fa3ac6ebe46a0159e4bb9a94
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIGSIG PARTCIPA - MPD LISTAS 62 - 15 · GRANDA GRANDA HONORATO MARCELINO1009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,34359.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · JIMENEZ GALAN ROSA ARAMITA3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,05219.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · DIAZ SARMIENTO JOSE ANTONIO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,42615.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · PACHECO PULLA EDGAR ARMANDO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148265.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

62.270–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.0503224090939298, oldest_gap=40.205790247331755, previous_gap=9.653538643766655

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[3.150725496002369,0,0,0,0,36.04382588095943,60.8054486230382],[0,15.504569566051,0,0,0,19.505336486227392,64.9900939477216]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[3.150725496002369,0,0,0,0,36.04382588095943,60.8054486230382],[0,15.504569566051,0,0,0,19.505336486227392,64.9900939477216]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[3.150725496002369,0,0,0,0,36.04382588095943,60.8054486230382],[0,15.504569566051,0,0,0,19.505336486227392,64.9900939477216]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1121,947
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 280,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 21947,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-280",
  "name": "SIGSIG / AZUAY",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    265,
    266,
    267,
    268,
    269,
    270,
    271,
    272,
    273,
    274,
    275,
    276,
    277,
    278,
    279,
    280
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SIGSIG / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-280. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.