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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAUTE / AZUAY — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PAUTE / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-275

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAUTE / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-fab18657dc45db16c3a5ab62
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PAUTE BONITO50.1%
  • AZUAY YA22.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA14.1%
  • AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR PAUTE7.2%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.7%
  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1.6%
Results for event-14a39294a539e8975d2d9ed7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAUTE BONITO · RAUL DELGADO1026ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,76150.1%1Recorded
AZUAY YA · MIGUEL PESANTEZ MACANCELA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,45522.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · ANA GABRIELA TORRES207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,19214.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR PAUTE · ULISES ASTUDILLO1305ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1157.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · JORGE OSWALDO VILLAVICENCIO231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237314.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · JANETH CAÑAR REINOSO1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232471.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO42.0%
  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS24.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO19.6%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA7.2%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO4.0%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO2.4%
Results for event-ddcbee4bafdc6648000fc13d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO · RAUL DELGADO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,11142%1Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS · MIGUEL PESANTEZ MACANCELA748ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,21724.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · HELIOTH TRELLES1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,32219.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · SALVADOR MOROCHO152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2137.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · MIGUEL ANGEL FEREÑO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196794%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · AGUSTIN VELEZ ANDRADE560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194002.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO42.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA16.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO5.8%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-825.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO PAUTE LIBRE4.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"1.9%
Results for event-cc2df0ce5ffb36984fb3b6ff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO · TRELLES MENDEZ HELIOTH ONOFRE8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,17242.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · FEREÑO ROCANO MIGUEL ANGEL3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,31022.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · SEGARRA MARTINEZ ESTEVAN OLIVER6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,45216.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · SEGARRA BARRERA ROMAN PATRICIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148415.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · ARAY VASQUEZ FELIX ANTONIO BOLIVAR1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148085.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PAUTE LIBRE · ONCE PILLAJO VICENTE CELIDONIO1003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146644.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · CALLE SARMIENTO HERMEL HUMBERTO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142711.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.778852977227277, oldest_gap=19.713459154153465, previous_gap=17.08180852319679

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[19.608074607484358,0,0,0,0,0,80.39192539251566],[0,16.889378702300593,0,42.51274280203885,0,22.799283647885385,17.798594847775174]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

82.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[19.608074607484358,0,0,0,0,0,80.39192539251566],[0,16.889378702300593,0,42.51274280203885,0,22.799283647885385,17.798594847775174]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[19.608074607484358,0,0,0,0,0,80.39192539251566],[0,16.889378702300593,0,42.51274280203885,0,22.799283647885385,17.798594847775174]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1122,601
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 275,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 22601,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-275",
  "name": "PAUTE / AZUAY",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    217,
    218,
    219,
    220,
    221,
    222,
    223,
    224,
    225,
    226,
    227,
    228,
    229,
    230,
    231,
    232
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PAUTE / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-275. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.