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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GIRÓN / AZUAY — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GIRÓN / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-270

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GIRÓN / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ae3c96652bdb7508d667c78f
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • AZUAY PRIMERO52.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD, PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA29.2%
  • AZUAY YA9.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN8.9%
Results for event-371ccda3d646cfa61fbafd1b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AZUAY PRIMERO · CRISTIAN OCHOA CARCHI1063ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,94352.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD, PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA · JORGE DUQUE ILLESCAS98ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,20429.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY YA · ARTURO CAMPOVERDE1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237259.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · LILIANA GUZMAN OCHOA215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236738.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA ACUERDO POR EL AZUAY28.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD, PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA26.6%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO23.6%
  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS11.2%
  • ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA4.1%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO3.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.4%
Results for event-0a6d39ad3586651aa1287a73
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ACUERDO POR EL AZUAY · JOSE MIGUEL UZHCA703ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,30528.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD, PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA · JORGE DUQUE72ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,18626.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO · MARTHA JIMENEZ556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,93923.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS · LEONARDO DELGADO748ecuador/Sed7b513864/201992011.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA · VERONICA AREVALO AREVALO750ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193344.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · MARIO ALVEAR ALVAREZ560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193213.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · PATRICIO CLAVIJO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192002.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS49.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK25.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA10.4%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-826.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA4.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4.0%
Results for event-4f742b1f94adbb678e0c0325
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · UZHCA GUAMAN JOSE MIGUEL ANGEL3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,78649.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JIMENEZ MARCATOMA MARTHA BEATRIZ5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,93525.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PROGRESO Y DEMOCRACIA · DUQUE ILLESCAS JORGE BENJAMIN1005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201479810.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · GIRON PARDO ROSANA MARGARITA1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145136.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · ALVAREZ ALVAREZ MARIA SOLEDAD6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143534.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · TAPIA MOGROVEJO JHONNY MARCELO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143044%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

16.640–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.048376408217358, oldest_gap=24.073351541162697, previous_gap=1.4503351614868976

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[2.437538086532602,0,0,0,0,0,97.56246191346739],[0,4.590974118871115,25.16582130316036,0,0,49.23917284432306,21.004031733645466]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[2.437538086532602,0,0,0,0,0,97.56246191346739],[0,4.590974118871115,25.16582130316036,0,0,49.23917284432306,21.004031733645466]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[2.437538086532602,0,0,0,0,0,97.56246191346739],[0,4.590974118871115,25.16582130316036,0,0,49.23917284432306,21.004031733645466]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1111,079
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 270,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 11079,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-270",
  "name": "GIRÓN / AZUAY",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    177,
    178,
    179,
    180,
    181,
    182
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GIRÓN / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-270. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.