Office briefing
GUALACEO / AZUAY — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · GUALACEO / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · MayorEC-M-1-265
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- GUALACEO / AZUAY / AZUAY
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-cb1cb3bc00402feab7d40bfe
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- GUALACEO PRIMERO33.7%
- ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO23.4%
- AZUAY YA19.2%
- UNIDOS VENCEREMOS14.5%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA9.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUALACEO PRIMERO · MARCO TAPIA | 1027ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 7,959 | 33.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · PEDRO LOPEZ | 1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,519 | 23.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUAY YA · GUSTAVO VERA | 1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,521 | 19.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS VENCEREMOS · OMAR ALVARADO | 1491ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,420 | 14.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · CARLOS ORDOÑEZ | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,170 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO Y DEMOCRACIA SI40.5%
- ALIANZA GUALACEO ASI JUNTOS PODEMOS31.3%
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA14.8%
- ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO6.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK4.3%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP2.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO Y DEMOCRACIA SI · GUSTAVO VERA | 753ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,677 | 40.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA GUALACEO ASI JUNTOS PODEMOS · MARCO TAPIA JARA | 585ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,257 | 31.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · PEDRO LOPEZ | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,894 | 14.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · RODRIGO VAZQUEZ WEBSTER | 560ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,777 | 6.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CESAR MIGUEL MARCA JUELA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,137 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · CLAUDIO EFRAIN CORTE | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 637 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.2%
- ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8235.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12.2%
- PARTIDO AVANZA10.6%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO5.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · BUSTOS SAMANIEGO JUAN DIEGO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 8,180 | 36.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · VAZQUEZ WEBSTER RODRIGO MAURICIO | 1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 8,081 | 35.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · LLIVICURA LLACZHA RODRIGO ESAUD | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,753 | 12.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ULLOA GUILLEN CECILIA CAROLINA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,404 | 10.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · LOPEZ PEREZ HUGO EFRAIN | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,208 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI54.990–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.343804315570818, oldest_gap=0.43754972155927163, previous_gap=9.173964138140189
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,4.310246787217104,0,0,0,95.6897532127829],[0,10.624944753823035,12.167418014673384,0,0,36.153098205604174,41.0545390258994]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.64percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,4.310246787217104,0,0,0,95.6897532127829],[0,10.624944753823035,12.167418014673384,0,0,36.153098205604174,41.0545390258994]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,4.310246787217104,0,0,0,95.6897532127829],[0,10.624944753823035,12.167418014673384,0,0,36.153098205604174,41.0545390258994]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 34,782 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 265,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 1,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 34782,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-1-265",
"name": "GUALACEO / AZUAY",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
185,
186,
187,
188,
189,
190,
191,
192,
193,
194,
195,
196,
197,
198,
199,
200,
201,
202,
203
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “GUALACEO / AZUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-1-265. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.