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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAS LOJAS / DAULE / GUAYAS — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LAS LOJAS / DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · other · Parish boardEC-J-9-400-2105

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAS LOJAS / DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-361858996fc30b70f9f4071f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA42.2%
  • PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO36.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO15.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO2.5%
Results for event-86812556031ac1f1892ba0cd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,59342.2%2Recorded
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,37236.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202358615.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231303.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023952.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO36.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA20.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA15.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO5.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE5.1%
  • FUERZA.EC4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL4.3%
  • CREO - MST3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP3.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.6%
Results for event-c5204a88ba2fd41e27f5862c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO534ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,93436%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,27020.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,63915%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196125.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195575.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194784.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194734.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO - MST591ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194083.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193643.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191801.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO55.3%
  • ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO36.5%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA1.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"1.0%
Results for event-1ca162087d7f4420ad7de416
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,45355.3%3Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,94136.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142312.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142172.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141321.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014841%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-116,142
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 400,
  "cne_parish": 2105,
  "cne_province": 9,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 6142,
  "electors_july": 6142,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-9-400-2105",
  "name": "LAS LOJAS / DAULE / GUAYAS",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1635
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 33,
  "register_pdf_row": 6,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LAS LOJAS / DAULE / GUAYAS — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-9-400-2105. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.