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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SALIMA / MUISNE / ESMERALDAS — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SALIMA / MUISNE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · other · Parish boardEC-J-8-570-3280

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SALIMA / MUISNE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-1f18a2967b3fdb31c7e3b3a5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO30.5%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR24.4%
  • MUISNE PRIMERO16.3%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA15.2%
  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA11.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO2.6%
Results for event-ab7bdffab2284271fdef531d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323930.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202319124.4%1Recorded
MUISNE PRIMERO1393ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312816.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311915.2%1Recorded
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238611%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023202.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA VUELVE LA ESPERANZA19.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA18.0%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR13.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES10.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ9.0%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO7.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO6.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REACTIVATE3.6%
  • FUERZA.EC0.3%
Results for event-4ec329952236e10291ea6619
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA VUELVE LA ESPERANZA532ecuador/Sed7b513864/201957919%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201955018%1Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201942013.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/201938412.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931010.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192769%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192147%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192036.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO REACTIVATE275ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191113.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/201980.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS29.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA21.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO18.5%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO12.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO6.8%
Results for event-8f99d23d7c68e7844129b08a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201465029.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201447521.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201440618.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428212.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201423110.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141486.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,061
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 570,
  "cne_parish": 3280,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1061,
  "electors_july": 1061,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-8-570-3280",
  "name": "SALIMA / MUISNE / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1252
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 32,
  "register_pdf_row": 16,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SALIMA / MUISNE / ESMERALDAS — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-8-570-3280. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.