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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BORBÓN / ELOY ALFARO / ESMERALDAS — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · BORBÓN / ELOY ALFARO / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · other · Parish boardEC-J-8-565-370

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BORBÓN / ELOY ALFARO / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-11e27d2d73de9f679502911c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO44.9%
  • PRIMERO ELOY ALFARO21.7%
  • JUNTOS POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA13.0%
  • SOMOS ELOY ALFARO LISTAS 1,12,23,3511.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.9%
Results for event-2da620ad530e16321d952b70
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,40744.9%2Recorded
PRIMERO ELOY ALFARO1264ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,16521.7%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1367ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202369913%1Recorded
SOMOS ELOY ALFARO LISTAS 1,12,23,351292ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202364011.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232384.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232093.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ29.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA29.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO17.5%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR13.7%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.0%
Results for event-c64e5efce33635cbda6f1577
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,39329.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,30329.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,57917.5%1Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,02413.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198445.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195844%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA37.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA7.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO7.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO6.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO5.8%
Results for event-67f196a78e82566e6b82c0fd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,59437.1%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,49336.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148937.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148757.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148166.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147235.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-118,939
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 565,
  "cne_parish": 370,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 8939,
  "electors_july": 8939,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-8-565-370",
  "name": "BORBÓN / ELOY ALFARO / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1126,
    1127
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 31,
  "register_pdf_row": 34,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5363.4
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “BORBÓN / ELOY ALFARO / ESMERALDAS — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-8-565-370. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.