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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHUMUNDÉ / RÍO VERDE / ESMERALDAS — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHUMUNDÉ / RÍO VERDE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · other · Parish boardEC-J-8-561-965

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHUMUNDÉ / RÍO VERDE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-b7efa2d7dcfe48b9f64f0709
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA28.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO24.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.0%
  • ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO11.3%
  • POR UN RIOVERDE DIFERENTE LISTAS 1,12,237.9%
  • RIOVERDE CAMINEMOS JUNTOS6.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO5.9%
Results for event-e0d50f83e1180f2b66b8daaa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202358728.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202351224.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202333316%1Recorded
ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO1178ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323611.3%1Recorded
POR UN RIOVERDE DIFERENTE LISTAS 1,12,231296ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231647.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RIOVERDE CAMINEMOS JUNTOS1241ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231286.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231225.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ25.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO23.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES23.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO12.4%
  • FUERZA.EC5.7%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR5.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.3%
Results for event-03f06a1167dca6884d2eee0d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,34225%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,25923.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,23323%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/201966312.4%1Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193045.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192935.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191472.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191222.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS35.6%
  • ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR RIO VERDE"24.9%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.7%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO11.8%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO6.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.2%
Results for event-a996b51ed42088dbcae6cba6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,46435.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR RIO VERDE"8003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,02224.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201476818.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201448311.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142806.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014902.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,521
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 561,
  "cne_parish": 965,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3521,
  "electors_july": 3521,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-8-561-965",
  "name": "CHUMUNDÉ / RÍO VERDE / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1118,
    1194,
    1239,
    1319,
    1324,
    1325
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 32,
  "register_pdf_row": 26,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHUMUNDÉ / RÍO VERDE / ESMERALDAS — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-8-561-965. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.