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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

SAN ISIDRO / LAS LAJAS / EL ORO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN ISIDRO / LAS LAJAS / EL ORO / EL ORO · other · Parish boardEC-J-7-755-1075

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN ISIDRO / LAS LAJAS / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-0e53a416b3ce7db38111a986
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS 5-70-7735.1%
  • JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS32.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.32.2%
Results for event-2207c0fd97da197351521b89
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS 5-70-771251ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317935.1%2Recorded
JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS1483ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316732.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316432.2%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • SIII 88 CREO 2124.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL23.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO23.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR21.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.3%
Results for event-a5dbb6d2d812f7253d8bd228
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIII 88 CREO 21641ecuador/Sed7b513864/201945024.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL147ecuador/Sed7b513864/201942323.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201942123.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR4ecuador/Sed7b513864/201939721.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191337.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO43.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA29.8%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR26.5%
Results for event-323b9149a885d91234a8b488
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201462343.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201442429.8%2Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201437726.5%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11621
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 755,
  "cne_parish": 1075,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 621,
  "electors_july": 621,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-7-755-1075",
  "name": "SAN ISIDRO / LAS LAJAS / EL ORO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1056
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 30,
  "register_pdf_row": 40,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN ISIDRO / LAS LAJAS / EL ORO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-7-755-1075. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.