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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAÑAQUEMADA / PASAJE / EL ORO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CAÑAQUEMADA / PASAJE / EL ORO / EL ORO · other · Parish boardEC-J-7-365-775

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAÑAQUEMADA / PASAJE / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-57a246d6fd16b1ada134f8ed
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.37.8%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7724.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA16.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE5.8%
  • !EL CAMBIO VIENE!5.6%
  • JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS5.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.4%
Results for event-5376851528b48573b7c36795
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202329937.8%2Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202319124.1%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202313116.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE10ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023465.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
!EL CAMBIO VIENE!1019ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023445.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS1483ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023415.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023202.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023192.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO19.7%
  • SUR UNIDO15.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR13.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE13.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL11.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA6.2%
  • SIII 88 CREO 215.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.8%
Results for event-aba1c766e649ab55ffcb3989
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/201952519.7%1Recorded
SUR UNIDO775ecuador/Sed7b513864/201940715.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR4ecuador/Sed7b513864/201936813.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE87ecuador/Sed7b513864/201935713.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201932012%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201930911.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191646.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SIII 88 CREO 21641ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191405.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019752.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR31.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA21.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO20.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE18.1%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO8.9%
Results for event-66650e9c83b1c4bce90876e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201450231%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201434021%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201433820.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE7004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201429318.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141448.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,048
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 365,
  "cne_parish": 775,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1048,
  "electors_july": 1048,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-7-365-775",
  "name": "CAÑAQUEMADA / PASAJE / EL ORO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1011
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 30,
  "register_pdf_row": 44,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAÑAQUEMADA / PASAJE / EL ORO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-7-365-775. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.