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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MALVAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MALVAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO · other · Parish boardEC-J-7-360-2350

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MALVAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-f8879519b3c18c2e31b24bdf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7735.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.31.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO19.5%
  • JUNTOS POR ZARUMA13.4%
Results for event-af2aab83743ec3c0471b880b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320035.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317531.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202310919.5%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR ZARUMA1347ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237513.4%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA23.0%
  • FE MAR22.0%
  • ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-3515.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO12.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS9.4%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR7.5%
Results for event-9831622e354ae5d3ab3aa46e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/201951923%2Recorded
FE MAR769ecuador/Sed7b513864/201949722%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-35708ecuador/Sed7b513864/201934015%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201928412.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201923710.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192139.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191707.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA36.7%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR16.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO16.1%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO13.9%
Results for event-aac3e051051c47429fb32316
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201480736.7%2Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201436916.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201436016.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201435416.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201430613.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11781
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 360,
  "cne_parish": 2350,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 781,
  "electors_july": 781,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-7-360-2350",
  "name": "MALVAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1113
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 31,
  "register_pdf_row": 24,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MALVAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-7-360-2350. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.