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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SALVIAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SALVIAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO · other · Parish boardEC-J-7-360-1750

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SALVIAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ff72c3a9395e8674210a0d59
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.55.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO26.9%
  • JUNTOS POR ZARUMA7.9%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-774.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.6%
Results for event-7be6336c7b8b32d6cefc4b5d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202335255.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317026.9%2Recorded
JUNTOS POR ZARUMA1347ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023507.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023314.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023294.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA35.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO18.4%
  • ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-3515.7%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE13.1%
  • FE MAR9.6%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR7.9%
Results for event-7887009804214a22abd971b0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/201985135.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201944318.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-35708ecuador/Sed7b513864/201937815.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931513.1%1Recorded
FE MAR769ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192329.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191917.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO28.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO25.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA22.9%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR12.4%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO11.4%
Results for event-7c29119a91d8de395b07b747
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201436428.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201432525.1%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201429622.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201416012.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201414811.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11777
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 360,
  "cne_parish": 1750,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 777,
  "electors_july": 777,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-7-360-1750",
  "name": "SALVIAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1112
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 31,
  "register_pdf_row": 26,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SALVIAS / ZARUMA / EL ORO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-7-360-1750. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.